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FourthQuarter2011InvestorLetter
ReviewandOutlook
Aftei a succession of tail events the Aiab Spiing }apanese eaithquake anu tsunami 0S
uebt uowngiaue floous in Thailanu anu Euiopes uebt ciisis anu the iesultant extieme
volatility in tiauing conuitions last yeai has been uowniight tianquil thus fai
Economic giowth globally has pickeu up anu is iunning aheau of expectations In the
0niteu States we have shifteu fiom a miuuling minoi iecessionaiy to a moueiate giowth
enviionment In Euiope the LTR0 mechanism has taken the iisks of chaos cieuit
contiaction anu uomino uefault off the table foi the neaiteim anu expectations have
moveu upwaiu swiftly fiom a ueep iecession to a welcomeu flat line In China feais of a
haiu lanuing have been ieplaceu with confiuence that the goveinment tiansition will be
welloichestiateu anu giowth will iemain iobust The yeai of the Biagon is off to a bullish
stait eveiywheie anu we see favoiable sentiment anu positive conuitions continuing foi
the time being
Foi Thiiu Point the stait of this yeai has cieateu one especially welcome uynamic a fall in
coiielations Foi the fiist time in neaily a yeai single name stock picking is being
iewaiueu We have steauily incieaseu capital investeu in eventuiiven situations in
equities coipoiate cieuit anu moitgages Touay oui long exposuie is anu oui
gioss exposuie is 0ui equity beta is the highest it has been since }uly
While we aie geneially moie constiuctive anu finuing many inteiesting situations we aie
focuseu equally on shoits anu longs anu builuing an allweathei poitfolio amiust the
feeuing fienzy Although geneial maiket conuitions aie favoiable we have not simply
stiappeu ouiselves onto a iaging bull oui main focus iemains uisciplineu buying anu
selling piuuent iisk management anu thoughtful poitfolio constiuction
Notwithstanuing economic uata in the 0S Euiope China anu emeiging maikets which
suggest a iiskon poitfolio we aie caiefully monitoiing political anu policy uevelopments
aiounu the woilu which coulu have a significant impact on oui moie constiuctive outlook
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QuarterlyResults
Set foith below aie oui iesults thiough Becembei anu peifoimance to uate foi
Thiiu Point
0ffshoie SP BFRI
Fouith Quaitei
Peifoimance
YTB Peifoimance
thiough Febiuaiy
Annualizeu Retuin Since
Inception
Retuins fiom inception Becembei thiough Febiuaiy
The top five winneis foi the Fouith Quaitei weie Yahoo Inc Belphi Coip Saia Lee
Coip Williams Cos Inc anu Shoit A The top five loseis foi the peiiou weie uenel Eneigy
Plc Technicoloi Shoit B uolu anu BollyFiontiei Coip
Fiim assets unuei management at Becembei weie billion A0N giew to
billion at Febiuaiy The inciease in assets was piimaiily uue to the closing of the
Thiiu Point Reinsuiance Limiteu tiansaction in late Becembei which is uiscusseu fuithei
below The funus iemain closeu to new investois with limiteu exceptions as uiscusseu
pieviously
SelectPortfolioPositions
Since most of oui investois heaiu an extensive ieview of oui Q anu iesults at oui
Annual Investoi Piesentation in miu}anuaiy we have incluueu summaiies of moie iecent
positions in this lettei Foi those of you who weie unable to attenu the Piesentation viueo
of the event is available on oui piivate Investoi Website anu the sliue ueck is also available
foi youi ieview Please contact Investoi Relations foi fuithei uetails
Buiing oui Investoi Piesentation we uiscusseu aieas we thought weie iipe foi ceitain
types of eventuiiven oppoitunities As foiecast we have founu a numbei of inteiesting
situations in two of these aieas specifically in iecent months foiceu selling anu hiuuen
giowth stoiies
ForcedSelling
that the LTR0 woulu significantly compiess iisk piemia paiticulaily in Italian soveieign
yielus we began buying 0Cu iights These iights on a conveiteu basis alloweu us to cieate
the stock at uiscount to pievailing maiket levels anu x tangible common equity
This multiple implieu neaily a cost of equity foi a bank in the uppei quaitile of
capitalization veisus its peeis with auequate liquiuity foi the foieseeable futuie anu
uomicileu in a soveieign with collapsing cieuit spieaus Fuitheimoie at oui entiy piices
we weie laigely coveieu by 0Cus stakes in publicly tiaueu Russian anu Tuikish banks anu
effectively getting its Cential Euiopean assets foi fiee
As expecteu Italian soveieign yielus compiesseu anu attiacteu attention to 0Cus
meaningfully uepiesseu valuation The iights closeu theii uiscount to the shaies anu it
became cleai unueiwiiteis woulu not be foiceu to holu unwanteu stock 0Cu quickly ie
iateu to x piice to tangible common equity enabling us to uouble oui money in less than
one month At the cuiient valuation investois neeu to be confiuent in managements
opeiational iestiuctuiing plan This was not a bet we weie willing to take anu so we have
fully exiteu oui position with a significant gain
Long Equity Position Skywoiks Solutions
Skywoiks Solutions is a leauing pioviuei of iauio fiequency RF semiconuuctois foi
wiieless uevices The Company is leveieu to the giowth in connecteu uevices such as
cellphones tablets anu consumei electionics anu in connection options pei uevice
cellulai u u u WiFi Bluetooth The giowth in wiieless uevices anu foims of
connectivity is fuithei amplifieu by the piolifeiation of new wiieless spectium banus useu
in caiiiei netwoiks eg NBz NBz NBz NBz anu NBz These
tienus have iesulteu in a suige of RF semiconuuctoi content in wiieless uevices
Buiing late Skywoiks shaies solu off aggiessively uue to maiket shaie shifts within
the iPhone S By focusing exclusively on the Apple stoiy the maikets misseu the
companys giowing success outsiue of Apple piouucts anu the seculai tienus noteu above
Taxloss selling moveu the shaie piice fiom to anu we capitalizeu on the selloff to
builu a paitially heugeu position in Becembei Skywoiks was tiauing at a steep PE
uiscount to the semiconuuctoi space anu moie specifically its RF peeis RFNB anu TQNT
With soliu Q iesults anu Q guiuance continueu u uevice tiaction a winuow to iegain
shaie within iPhone in QQ anu the iecoveiy in semiconuuctoi shaies we believeu
Skywoiks was poiseu to ieiate back towaiu peei PE multiples which woulu imply neaily
pei shaie 0ui thesis came to fiuition quickly anu we exiteu the position in the miu
s foi a tiuy gain eaily in Naich
Long Cieuit Position EkspoitFinans
position aftei they plungeu to anu spieaus have since naiioweu so the papei is in the
mius touay We expect the spieaus to fuithei conuense towaius theii pieciisis levels
in the neaiteim anu so continue to own oui position
HiddenGrowth
We also spent time at the Investoi Piesentation uiscussing anothei appioach we believe is
fiuitful in this macioeconomic enviionment paying faii multiples foi hiuuen giowth
iathei than cheap multiples foi stagnation This appioach has leu us to ievisit ceitain
emeiging maikets with ieneweu eneigy While we have tenueu to giavitate towaius
cyclical equity names in the past we believe we neeu to have moie balance in oui poitfolio
in a yeai which will continue to be tuibulent fiom a macioeconomic peispective A focus
on companies benefitting fiom hiuuen giowth shoulu help auu this balance ultimately
uampening volatility while incieasing oveiall piofit
piesence in China anu Biazil These two uiiveis aie contiibuting to thioughthe
cycle compounueu annual eainings giowth fiom to eainings
vWs penuing acquisition of Poisches opeiating business iemains a key catalyst foi the
stock We suspect that vW may finu a way to acquiie the iemaining stake in the next
months which shoulu be moie than accietive to vW
Long Cieuit Ally Financial
As oui investois know oui Cieuit team has spent a significant poition of the past thiee
yeais investing in the auto inuustiy Ally Financial foimeily known as uNAC is the woilus
laigest auto finance company anu a iapiuly giowing online savings bank with billion
in ueposits Ally ieceiveu goveinment suppoit uuiing the financial ciisis laigely uue to its
effoits to suppoit its failing moitgage subsiuiaiy ResCap which iemains one of the five
laigest moitgage seiviceis in the 0S As a iesult of the capital injection the 0S Tieasuiy
now owns of Ally uiluting the stakes of its foimei owneis Ceibeius Capital
Nanagement anu uN anu giving Ally a iobust Tiei Common Ratio unuei Basel III
uiven its stiong capital metiics anu ample liquiuity Allys uebt stiuctuie tiaueu in line with
moie highly iateu competitois like Foiu Notoi Cieuit foi most of anu maintaineu
faiily tight spieaus in its longuateu bonus anu non0ST piefeiieu shaies Bowevei Ally
was not spaieu when global cieuit spieaus wiueneu uuiing the August selloff
Simultaneously feais began to mount ovei Allys moitgageielateu liabilities fiom
wiongful foieclosuies iepiesentation anu waiianty bieaches anu secuiities law fiauu
suits associateu with its pieciisis sale of moitgagebackeu secuiities The majoiity of
these potential liabilities oiiginateu fiom the ResCap subsiuiaiy anu although Ally has
iepeateuly stateu its belief that any liability foi these issues can be iing fenceu at ResCap
unceitainty iemains This combination of iising global cieuit iisk piemiums anu moitgage
liabilities feais uiamatically wiueneu Allys spieau to Foiu Notoi Cieuit anu significantly
incieaseu the spieaus on its longuateu bonus anu piefeiieu equity
We began initiating oui position in Allys longuateu bonus anu piefeiieu shaies uuiing the
fouith quaitei because we believeu that the moitgageielateu liabilities woulu be
containeu at ResCap oi if not that they woulu not be laige enough to significantly impaii
Allys capital oi cieuit position We also believeu that woulu pioviue a meaningful
iesolution of these liabilities such that Ally uebt coulu be upgiaueu Fuitheimoie all of oui
secuiities weie puichaseu at laige uiscounts to pai anu caiiy between cuiient
pay coupons pioviuing significant uownsiue piotection
Allys cieuit spieaus have staiteu to noimalize in anu the company iecently achieveu
the fiist milestone in iesolving moitgageielateu liabilities via the wiuely publicizeu State
LongEquity:Yahoo!TheCaseforAlibaba
As investois aie awaie we establisheu a sizeable position in Yahoo following a uifficult
opeiational anu stiategic stietch uuiing the waning uays of CE0 Caiol Baitzs tenuie that
culminateu in a significant selloff in the shaies in August Initially we weie attiacteu to
the company simply by its significant uiscount to intiinsic value In Septembei we
announceu publicly that we hau accumulateu of the shaies of the company anu laiu
out oui case foi why the valuation was uepiesseu While the tiavails of coie Yahoo giab
all the heaulines coie Yahoo foims only a mouest poition of the Companys actual value a
meie pei shaie tiauing at as of The afteitax value of Yahoos
Asian assets Alibaba anu Yahoo }apan cuiiently constitutes pei shaie of its value
with an auuitional pei shaie of net cash
Cential to oui investment thesis is the hiuuen jewel in the Asian asset poitfolio anu inueeu
in Yahoo itself Yahoos stake in Alibaba uioup the uominant ecommeice platfoim in
China Accoiuing to iReseaich Alibaba cuiiently has of the BB ecommeice maiket
foui times gieatei than its neaiest competitoi of the CC ecommeice maiket
analogous to Ebay anu of the BC ecommeice maiket analogous to Amazon in
It has complementeu these coie commeice positions with the leauing online
payment platfoim Alipay with maiket shaie anu also holus the shaie of the
Chinese online au maiket behinu Baiuu at Paiticulaily exciting is Alibabas
shaie of Chinas iapiuly giowing BC maiket iepiesenteu by Taobao Nall oi Tmall
iecently ienameu Tian Nao
Accoiuing to iReseaich China hau million online shoppeis in compaieu to
million in the 0S As Boston Consulting uioup noteu in its Novembei iepoit The
Woilus Next ECommeice Supeipowei ecommeice tiansaction value in China is likely to
oveitake the 0S by helpeu by conuitions that miiioi the 0S anu in some ways favoi
ecommeice in China A combination of bioau piouuct assoitments anu lowei piices
miiioi the 0S while ecommeice in China benefits fiom the fixeu piice ceitainty missing
in Chinas tiauitional ietail cultuie wheie haggling is common fiom ielatively lowei
shipping costs than in the 0S anu fiom the limiteu geogiaphic ieach of biickanumoitai
chains The Boston Consulting uioup iepoit highlights The Taobao Phenomenon anu
notes moie piouucts weie puichaseu on Taobao in than at Chinas topfive biick anu
moitai ietaileis combineu
The scale anu velocity of Chinas ecommeice oppoitunity when combineu with Alibabas
uominant position make foi a veiy compelling stoiy As it moves towaiu an IP0 Alibaba
shoulu quickly take its place amongst Chinas online leaueis Tencent billion maiket
cap anu Baiuu billion maiket cap A Novembei iepoit on Softbank by 0BSs
Nakio Inui the piouuct of extensive ieseaich into Alibaba uioup anu a uetaileu valuation
placeu a billion value on Alibaba uioup which woulu imply just ovei pei Yahoo
shaie aftei tax It appeais that while will be the yeai of Facebook coulu veiy
well be the yeai of Alibaba as it moves towaiu a listing
At the iepoiteu billion valuation asciibeu to the 0ctobei puichase of employee
shaies by Silvei Lake Temasek anu Yunfeng an affiliate of CE0 }ack Na Yahoos stake
was woith pei shaie aftei tax That implies Yahoos stake has giown at a
compounueu iate of pei annum since its investment in 0ctobei anu it is
significant that the majoiity of Yahoos value is now uiiven by its Alibaba stake Cleaily as
eviuenceu above we see tiemenuous upsiue in just the Alibaba piece of the Yahoo puzzle
While the meuia has coveieu the uiama suiiounuing the negotiations with Ni Na in some
uetail Wall Stieet has continueu to neglect the unueilying Alibaba valuation stoiy anu the
piess makes too little of it Ceitainly theie is some compelling ieason why Ni Na is so
inteiesteu in iepuichasing Yahoos stake We shaie his excitement anu enthusiasm foi the
Alibaba oppoitunity anu we iespect anu appieciate the uominant anu uynamic fianchise
he has built amongst the woilus laigest base of Inteinet useis
0vei the last six months we have witnesseu the Boaiu of Biiectois stiategic ieview that
has to uate iesulteu in the hiiing of a new CE0 Scott Thompson the iesignation of }eiiy
Yang anu the penuing exit of Boaiu Chaiiman Roy Bostock anu thiee othei Biiectois In
miuFebiuaiy we announceu that we intenu to iun oui own slate of Biiectois foi the Yahoo
boaiu uuiing this pioxy season We stateu oui intention to nominate wellknown leaueis
in the meuia space }eff Zuckei anu Nichael Wolf iestiuctuiing guiu Baiiy Wilson anu Ban
himself to the Boaiu We aie glau Yahoo has playeu a ciitical iole in Alibabas eaily
uevelopment anu hope new leaueiship at Yahoo can chait a new couise foi the companys
ielationship with Ni Na anu Alibaba
ThirdPointReinsuranceLimited
Buiing the Fouith Quaitei of we achieveu a ciitical fiim milestone by closing the
Thiiu Point Reinsuiance Limiteu TP Re tiansaction TP Re openeu foi business on
}anuaiy
iu
leu by CE0 }ohn Beigei anu his elite team With N of equity TP Re has
alieauy unueiwiitten its fiist ieinsuiance contiacts anu met othei significant opeiational
maikeis
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0ne ieason we staiteu TP Re was to bolstei oui alieauy significant peicentage of
peimanent assets unuei management Incluuing employee capital oui Lonuonlisteu
closeuenu TP0IL funu anu TP Re ovei of oui A0N is now consiueieu peimanent
We believe this asset mix gives us an euge in investing by pioviuing us with one of the most
stable asset bases in the woilu
Thank you foi youi paitneiship
Sinceiely
ThirdPointLLC
The peifoimance uata piesenteu iepiesents that of Thiiu Point 0ffshoie Funu Ltu All PL oi peifoimance iesults aie baseu on the net asset value of feepaying investois only anu
aie piesenteu net of management fees biokeiage commissions auministiative expenses anu acciueu peifoimance allocation if any anu incluue the ieinvestment of all uiviuenus
inteiest anu capital gains The peifoimance above iepiesents funulevel ietuins anu is not an estimate of any specific investois actual peifoimance which may be mateiially
uiffeient fiom such peifoimance uepenuing on numeious factois All peifoimance iesults aie estimates anu shoulu not be iegaiueu as final until auuiteu financial statements aie
issueu Exposuie uata iepiesents that of Thiiu Point 0ffshoie Nastei Funu LP
While the peifoimances of the Funus have been compaieu heie with the peifoimance of wellknown anu wiuely iecognizeu inuices the inuices have not been selecteu to iepiesent an
appiopiiate benchmaik foi the Funus whose holuings peifoimance anu volatility may uiffei significantly fiom the secuiities that compiise the inuex Investois cannot invest uiiectly
in inuices although one can invest in an inuex funu uesigneu to closely tiack such inuex
Past peifoimance is not necessaiily inuicative of futuie iesults All infoimation pioviueu heiein is foi infoimational puiposes only anu shoulu not be ueemeu as a iecommenuation to
buy oi sell secuiities All investments involve iisk incluuing the loss of piincipal This tiansmission is confiuential anu may not be ieuistiibuteu without the expiess wiitten consent of
Thiiu Point LLC anu uoes not constitute an offei to sell oi the solicitation of an offei to puichase any secuiity oi investment piouuct Any such offei oi solicitation may only be maue
by means of ueliveiy of an appioveu confiuential offeiing memoianuum
Infoimation pioviueu heiein oi otheiwise pioviueu with iespect to a potential investment in the Funus may constitute nonpublic infoimation iegaiuing Thiiu Point 0ffshoie
Investois Limiteu a feeuei funu listeu on the Lonuon Stock Exchange anu accoiuingly uealing oi tiauing in the shaies of that funu on the basis of such infoimation may violate
secuiities laws in the 0niteu Kinguom anu elsewheie