Professional Documents
Culture Documents
November 2011
Presentation outline
Overview of Hinduja Group CV Industry Trend and Outlook ALs Performance Capex / Investments / Funding AL Strategies / Plans Volumes & Margin outlook
Joint Ventures
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
IT / ITES
HTMT IT Services spearheads the Group's IT activities by providing professional resources of highest quality services and full range of software solutions across several industries for clients in India and overseas.
Infrastructure
Hinduja Group is engaged in real estate development projects, involving both commercial and residential property
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
* Till July 11
Demand for steel is likely to pick up in HY 2 FY 12, with industrial and infrastructural construction activity gathering pace. As the monsoon season comes to end, demand for cement likely to go up as construction activity is expected to pick up. Ministry of Environment & Forests has decided to scrap go/no go classification of coal blocks. This will give a major boost to the coal production in coming months. Growth in cargo traffic is likely to be supported by significant growth in Indias foreign trade. Source: CMIE Oct 11 5 AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Under Imp. / Balance Total Kms Golden Quad 5846 NS-EW Ph I & II 7300 NHDP Ph III 12109 NHDP Ph IV 14799 NHDP Ph V 6500 NHDP Ph VI /VII 1700 Port conn/Others 1770
GQ gave impetus during 2003-07 Similar growth can be expected from other phases Contract under implementation for 10830 Kms
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Railways
86 82 70 61 61
Railways
90
80 70 60 50
60 50 40 40 30 48 36 30 30 20 15 10 0 30 19
1950-51
1960-61
1970-71
1980-81
1990-91
2000-01
2009-10
Railways share of freight traffic fell from 40% in 2000-01 to 30% in 2009-10
7
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Truck rates from Chennai to major cities 4.00 3.00 (Rs. '000) 2.00 1.00 0.00 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Calcutta Delhi Mumbai Bangalore
Truck rates from Delhi to major cities 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Calcutta Chennai Mumbai Bangalore
4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00
Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Nov-11
Calcutta Chennai Delhi Bangalore
(Rs. '000)
(Rs. '000)
Post diesel price hike, except in few pockets in East, operators are able to pass on the increase to customers
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Haulage (16T) Tippers (16T-31T) Tractor Trlrs (30T-49T) MAV (22T-31T) ICV (9T-15T) Total
7835 14421 14729 25125 7190 13534 27706 55000 16267 29738 73727 137818
9129 17136 10137 17953 8035 14100 27492 53714 12105 23615 66898 126518
(14) 45 (11) 1 34 10
(16) 40 (4) 2 26 9
19 42 13 2 21 15
Decrease in MAV TIV (32%) in Southern Region, partially offset by 14% Increase in ICV TIV 21% TIV drop in Tractor Trailer in Western region More buying by First Time Users (FTUs) rather than large fleet operators in North Tipper segment which has shorter replacement cycles of 4-5 yrs is witnessing strong replacement demand Tipper segment in FY 07 & 08 witnessed volumes which have been historical peaks so far and the replacement volumes of the historical highs are likely to support near term tipper demand.
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10
22 (3) 4 8
In Q1/Q2 FY12, no orders from STUs under JnNURM scheme. Rising fuel cost could drive the shift to public transport. Improving national highway infrastructure would boost inter-city travel by road. Demand from niche segments viz., IT, BPO, schools and corporates to boost demand for buses in cities
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Volume in 000s
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10
0
Q1 FY10 Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 Q4 FY11 Q1 FY12 Q2 FY12 Q3 FY12P Q4 FY12P
YOY Growth %
2010-11 2011-12
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Q1 90 7
Q2 48 10
Q3 21 5
Q4 17 4
Annual 36 5-7%
12
Volume in 000s
14 12 12 12
13
13
12 10 11 12
14
10
8 6 4 2 0 Q1 FY10 Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11 7
Q4 FY11
Q1 FY12
YOY Growth %
2010-11 2011-12
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Q1 57 -7
Q2 40 -10
Q3 -12 11
Q4 -14 10
Annual 11 4-6%
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Negatives:
Further rise in fuel prices subsidy on Diesel could be questioned Inflation / Interest rates negative outlook
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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ALs performance HY 1 FY 12
Segment Bus TIV Growth Y-O-Y % - ALL Growth Y-O-Y % - ALL MS% Truck TIV Growth Y-O-Y % ALL Growth Y-O-Y % -ALL MS% Total TIV Growth Y-O-Y % ALL Growth Y-O-Y % -ALL MS% Q1 FY'11 11728 56.7 4184 89.2 35.7 59620 89.8 15058 238.3 25.3 71348 83.5 19242 188.8 27.0 Q2 HY1 FY Q1 FY'11 FY'11 2010-11 FY'12 13082 24810 72363 10909 40.1 47.5 68.0 (7.0) 5435 9619 30044 4355 49.0 64.2 83.1 4.1 41.5 38.8 41.5 39.9 66899 126519 401754 64091 47.6 64.9 99.0 7.5 16657 31715 94389 12277 90.1 140.0 131.7 (18.5) 24.9 25.1 23.5 19.2 79981 151329 474117 75000 46.3 61.7 93.6 5.1 22092 41334 124433 16632 78.0 116.7 117.8 (13.6) 27.6 27.3 26.2 22.2 Q2 HY1 FY'12 FY'12 11808 22717 (9.7) (8.4) 4741 9096 (12.8) (5.4) 40.2 40.0 73727 137818 10.2 8.9 15547 27824 (6.7) (12.3) 21.1 20.2 85535 160535 6.9 6.1 20288 36920 (8.2) (10.7) 23.7 23.0
Drop in MS in Truck due to: Decrease in MAV TIV (32%) in Southern Region 21% TIV drop in Tractor Trailer TIV in Western region More buying by First Time Users (FTUs) than large fleet operators in North
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2011-12 Q1 Sri Lanka Bangladesh Middle East Others Total 1345 554 405 235 2539 Q2 1714 574 624 318 3230 HY1 3059 1128 1029 553 5769 Q1 761 644 371 164 1940
2010-11 Q2 1135 581 413 221 2350 HY1 1896 1225 784 385 4290 FY 5503 2325 1355 1123 10306
Middle East - showing signs of recovery. Growth in Sri Lanka & Bangladesh markets sustained. Targeting 30% growth (13000 vehicles) in FY 12. Share of exports in Total volume expected to be reach 15% in 3 years
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% Inc/(dec) over 2010-11 Q2 HY 1 Q1 Q2 (0.1) (5.2) 2548 2434 (47.3) (47.1) 464 429 25.8 7.2 907 569 (1.7) (7.8) 3919 3432
Engines 2%
Higher exports & defence volumes have improved the non-cyclical revenue. ALs share in cyclical business has come down by 3% in HY1 Targeting to achieve non-cyclical revenue share of 50% in next few years
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309457 227574 25151 23617 33115 6270 1033 27878 8593 19285 15408
% of % of % of % of Q2 YOY % HY1 FY Net Net Net Net 2010-11 growth 2011-12 2010-11 Sales Sales Sales Sales 100.0 271395 100.0 14.0 559008 100.0 1111771 100.0 73.5 199692 73.6 14.0 407384 72.9 812117 73.0 8.1 21148 7.8 18.9 50125 9.0 95972 8.6 7.6 20072 7.4 17.7 43921 7.9 81926 7.4 10.7 30483 11.2 8.6 57577 10.3 121756 11.0 2.0 3948 1.5 58.8 11604 2.1 16366 1.5 0.3 624 0.2 65.6 1444 0.3 1533 0.1 9.0 27159 10.0 2.6 47417 8.5 106923 9.6 2.8 6406 2.4 34.1 17059 3.1 26743 2.4 6.2 20753 7.6 (7.1) 30358 5.4 80180 7.2 5.0 16706 6.2 (7.8) 24033 4.3 63130 5.7
Revenue up primarily due to pricing actions (in CY & PY) and also due to higher spares and defence sales in CY. Material cost contained to be at the same level of last year Lower volumes and higher operating cost have resulted in lower operating margin (by 0.5%) Vehicle sales from PNR @ 8090 in Q2/FY12 vs. 1533 in PY Fresh borrowings in HY 2 of FY 11 & higher working capital resulted in higher Financial Expenses
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Capital Expenditure
Capital expenditure in HY1/FY12 add up to Rs.240 Cr mainly in the following areas: PNR Plant Rs.42 Cr LCV (Sunrise) project Rs.31 Cr Neptune Engine Rs.6 Cr IT infrastructure Rs.23 Cr Plant / Other projects Rs.138 Cr Full year capex plan for FY12 to be contained within Rs.600 Cr.
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Investments
Rs. Cr
Description Nissan Joint Venture (Sunrise) John Deere & Alteams Hinduja Leyland Finance Defiance Others Total
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Working Capital
Rs. Cr.
Particulars Production inventory Finished inventory Vehicles/Engines Finished Parts Finshed inventory - Total INVENTORY DEBTORS Loans & Advances Capital Others Total Loans & Advances CURRENT ASSETS CREDITORS WORKING CAPITAL Sep-11 1079 809 147 957 2035 887 68 1061 1129 4051 2542 1509 Mar-11 1304 778 127 905 2209 1074 28 748 776 4059 3095 964 Sep-10 1066 743 130 873 1940 801 63 1029 1092 3832 2306 1527
Tighter control on vehicle inventory exists (413 Nos. increase over Mar 11) Vehicle stock as on 30th Sep11 is 8659 nos. Receivables has come down by Rs. 187 Cr over Mar 11 Target to bring down working capital to around Rs.1000 Cr by Mar12
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Funding plans
Borrowed ECB loans US $ 75 Mn (Rs. 350 Cr) at below 5% p.a. Average cost of total debt: around 6% p.a. Total loan outstanding at Rs. 2800 Cr as of Sep 11 with 1.2:1 gearing. Likely level of spend in 2011-12 towards: Capex Rs.600 Cr (PNR, LCV, NGC, Nepture, R&D, etc.) Investment in JVs Rs.500 Cr (Nissan, JD, ALTEAMS, Hinduja
Leyland Finance etc. Hinduja Foundries, etc,)
Plan to contain total borrowings within Rs.750 Cr in FY 12. Debt /Equity levels not likely to cross 1:1 by Mar12 Sufficient headroom available for debt infusion.
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Turbocharged intercooled H Series BS 3 Common Rail engine (ensures higher fuel efficiency)
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Q2/FY'12 Q1/FY'12 Q2/FY'11 Q1/FY'11 Total Production 21437 21969 25571 22090 PNR Production 6801 5878 1698 786 % of PNR Prodn 31.7% 26.8% 6.6% 3.6% Total Sales 23659 19277 24589 21400 PNR vehicles - sale 8090 4893 1533 643 % of sales from PNR 34.2% 25.4% 6.2% 3.0%
Production from Pant Nagar has increased over the quarters Presently it is contributing over 30% of companys production / sales It is targeted to produce around 36% of the total volumes from Pant Nagar in II half / FY12 (32000 vehicles in FY12)
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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30 touch points added in Apr-Oct11 (55 nos. in 2010-11). Out of these more than 75% have been added in regions other than South ALs network in North India will match the network in Southern India in next few months AL is presently having equal presence of touch points across India 50% of customer touch points are less than 5 years old
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Network growth
150000
900 800
700
Vehicle Volumes
100000
AL Sal Vol No of outlets Dealer + ASC
600
500
400
316
138 178
50920
09-10
222
300
146
170
36323 0
08-09
84000
100000
0
10-11
11-12
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Touch Points
Response within 4 hours anywhere on the Golden Quadrilateral Restoration (vehicle back on road) in 48 hours; If not restored, AL will pay Rs.1000/day of delay
TatkaAL rolled out along GQ in 2nd Jan 10 & well received by customers.
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Capacity to increase by two fold to 5400 buses p.a. in next 1 Yr (Cost Rs. 75 Cr.)
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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IRIZAR TVS
JV between AL, TVS & Sons & Irizar of Spain State of art coach building facility at Viralimalai (near Trichy) with an investment of Rs. 30 Cr. Has built up area of 2 lakh Sq. Ft. Has three production lines & seven paint booths Assembly and sub assembly under one roof Capacity to produce 2200 coaches a year IT 09, the indigenously designed luxury coach for intercity transportation by Irizar TVS recently unveiled
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Investment in Optare UK
Subscribed for a 26% stake in Optare Plc UK (US$ 7.5 Mln). Pioneer of low floor double decker in UK. Optare known for its low carbon range, low floor, mid buses and modern range of city buses. Optares electric bus has secured several orders as more countries in Europe promote cleaner, greener mobility. Acquisition part of Global Bus and Coach Strategy.
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Outlook on volumes
2011-12 Actual Estimate HY 1 FY BUS TIV ALL ALL MS % TRUCK TIV ALL ALL MS % TOTAL TIV ALL ALL MS % 22,717 9,096 40.0 49,000 22,000 44.9 2010-11 Actual YoY % HY 1 Full Year FY 24,852 9,619 38.7 47,553 20,425 43.0 3.0% 7.7%
8.6% 2.1%
7.8% 3.5%
Including Exports of 13000 vehicles and LCV sales AL is likely to cross 1 lac sales volume in FY12 [excluding LCV (Sunrise) Volumes] AL is well positioned to improve its market share as capacity will not be a constraint. Capacity addition in Uttarkhand will be sufficient to take care of next 2 years requirements.
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
39
9543 9507 8945 9056 9639 9061 8335 (5.1) (8.0) (12.7)
220 239 225 222 212 205 215 0.9 (3.2) (2.3)
2371 2389 2180 2251 2418 2239 2100 (5.1) (6.7) (11.4)
26827 26339 24213 22382 23763 22093 20422 (16.6) (8.8) (23.9)
2370 2399 2386 2349 2324 2288 2274 (0.9) (3.2) (4.1)
39.75 39.50 38.10 38.10 38.10 37.60 38.50 (4.2) 1.0 (3.1)
Commodity prices softened during first half Expect pressure for price increase to suppliers to subside during second half
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
Margin Outlook
Targeting to maintain / improve operating margins around 10.5% for FY 12 to be supported by: Pricing action (3.8%), 2.5% taken in Apr11, 0.7% taken in Jul11 & another 0.6% taken in Nov11 Commodity based price increase pressure (mainly steel and rubber) to be contained Stringent controls on operating cost / working capital levels
Full year margin targeted around 10.5% of revenue
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
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Joint Ventures
43
44
45
Automotive Infotronics
New company formed with 50:50 partnership with Continental AG Demonstrated / launched products developed by it in early Oct 11 fitment of multiplexing units in U trucks Involved in design and engineering services for Future Vehicle Development Program and New gen Cab.
Investment so far is Rs.16 Cr.
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
higher HP engines trucks with factory built cabin Buses featuring latest design/technology
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Automotive Sector
LCVs M&HCV Defence Construction equipment
Foundry
Auto Electronics
Body corporate & others 6.68% Banks & MFs 2.41% Residents 10.76%
FIIs 16.18%
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11
49
Thank You
AL / CFO / IR / Nov11