Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: JUNE 12, 2012

WOMEN GIVE OBAMA 6-POINT LEAD IN PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; GOV. CORBETT JOB APPROVAL AT LOWEST POINT EVER
With strong support from women and independent voters, President Barack Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 46 40 among Pennsylvania voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Romney would do a better job on the economy, voters say 49 41 percent. The matchup compares to a 47 39 percent Obama lead in a May 3 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In todays survey, women back President Obama 51 36 percent, while men tip to Romney 44 40 percent. Obama leads 83 10 percent among Democrats and 43 35 percent among independent voters, while Republican voters back Romney 80 7 percent. Pennsylvania voters say 77 18 percent that Obama is a likable person, compared to 58 29 percent for Romney. The Republican would create more jobs, voters say 45 percent, while 43 percent say Obama would create more jobs. President Barack Obama is holding his ground against Gov. Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania. While almost four-fifths of voters, including 58 percent of Republicans, say the President is a likable person, where the rubber meets the road on the campaign trail the economy Romney has the lead, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Pennsylvanians may like the president more than they like Mitt Romney, but the warm and fuzzy feeling gives way to the cold hard truth of a still shaky economy. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/June 12, 2012 page 2 In the Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Robert Casey Jr. leads coal mine-owner Tom Smith, his largely unknown Republican challenger, 51 32 percent. Voters approve 51 29 percent of the job Casey is doing and say 49 32 percent that he deserves reelection. Casey gets a 45 23 percent favorability rating while 71 percent of voters say they dont know enough about Smith to form an opinion. Governors Approval Pennsylvania voters disapprove 47 36 percent of the job Gov. Tom Corbett is doing, his lowest approval rating ever and down from an all-time high of a 50 32 percent approval in a September 29 Quinnipiac University poll. Women disapprove 51 32 percent while men are split with 40 percent approving and 43 percent disapproving. Disapproval is 68 20 percent among Democrats and 45 35 percent among independent voters, while Republicans approve 55 26 percent. Voters disapprove 53 33 percent of the way Corbett is handling the state budget. Gov. Tom Corbett tanks among men and women, giving him the lowest approval rating since taking office 18 months ago, Malloy said. Voter ID Pennsylvania voters approve 66 32 percent a new state law requiring voters to have photo ID to cast their ballot. Approval is 91 7 percent among Republicans and 64 35 percent among independent voters, while Democrats are opposed 53 46 percent. There is strong support for the photo ID requirement among all age and income groups. Keystone State voters say overwhelmingly, No photo ID card, no ballot, supporting 2-1 the new state law requiring a picture ID in order to vote, Malloy said. From June 5 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 997 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46% 40 2 3 9 Rep 7% 80 2 2 9 Dem 83% 10 1 5 Ind 43% 35 4 6 12 Men 40% 44 3 3 9 Wom 51% 36 1 3 9 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 44% 39 3 5 9 49% 40 1 1 8 47% 40 2 1 10

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46% 44 3 3 4 46% 39 2 3 11

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 59% 28 2 1 10 48% 41 1 1 9 42% 43 1 2 11 36% 51 2 8 4

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Obama high also 47% Jun 2011, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election") OBAMA......... High Low May 03 Aug 02 2012 2011 47 39 2 3 8 42 44 3 3 8

Jun 12 2012 Obama Romney SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 46 40 2 3 9

May 03 2012 47 39 2 3 8

Mar 28 2012 45 42 2 3 7

Mar 14 2012 46 40 2 4 8

Dec 08 2011 46 43 2 3 6

2. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 35% 42 20 3 65% 9 22 4 11% 70 15 3 32% 44 23 1 38% 41 19 2 31% 43 21 5 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 32% 44 23 2 34% 42 20 4 37% 42 16 4

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 39% 42 17 2 33% 42 21 4

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 22% 46 26 6 36% 44 18 2 38% 43 18 2 43% 42 13 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jun 12 May 03 Mar 28 Mar 14 Dec 08 Mar 28 Feb 08 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2007 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough 35 42 20 35 39 22 37 38 22 33 43 21 34 30 33 37 38 22 12 11 76

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3. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 49% 44 3 3 Rep 14% 80 3 3 Dem 85% 9 4 2 Ind 48% 45 2 5 Men 46% 48 3 3 Wom 53% 40 4 4 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 49% 45 3 4 54% 39 3 4 48% 44 5 3

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 52% 44 2 2 48% 43 4 4

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 60% 29 7 4 53% 42 2 4 47% 47 2 4 40% 59 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low May 03 Feb 08 2012 2007 51 43 2 4 39 15 45 1

Jun 12 2012 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 49 44 3 3

May 03 2012 51 43 2 4

Mar 28 2012 48 46 3 2

Mar 14 2012 47 47 3 3

Dec 08 2011 46 47 3 4

4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Smith the Republican and Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Smith Casey SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 32% 51 1 2 14 Rep 67% 19 1 2 11 Dem 5% 84 1 1 9 Ind 28% 46 2 2 22 Men 34% 50 1 2 14 Wom 31% 52 2 2 14

Smith Casey SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Alghny Philly * 25% 12% 61 65 6 1 14 18

NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl 25% 60 1 14 39% 45 1 5 10 35% 53 12 25% 52 3 20 43% 41 2 13

5. Is your opinion of - Bob Casey Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable 45% 23 Rep 23% 42 Dem 67% 6 Ind 43% 25 Men 45% 25 Wom 45% 22

Hvn't hrd enough 30 33 27 28 28 31 REFUSED 2 2 3 1 2 6. Is your opinion of - Tom Smith favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 17% 10 71 2 34% 4 62 6% 16 77 1 15% 10 71 4 17% 12 69 2 18% 8 74 1

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as governor? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36% 47 17 Rep 55% 26 19 Dem 20% 68 12 Ind 35% 45 20 Men 40% 43 17 Wom 32% 51 17 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 35% 46 19 42% 46 12 33% 49 18

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36% 52 12 36% 45 19

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 32% 47 21 33% 53 14 40% 48 12 42% 44 13

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Alghny Philly * 26% 32% 60 52 14 16

NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl 30% 41 28 38% 46 16 45% 45 10 33% 57 9 41% 39 20

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor? APPROVE....... High Low Jun 12 Mar 28 Mar 15 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 29 Jun 12 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 36 47 17 41 38 22 41 41 18 47 34 19 46 31 23 50 32 18 36 47 17

8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 27% 51 21 Rep 37% 38 24 Dem 23% 59 18 Ind 22% 59 19 Men 31% 51 18 Wom 23% 52 25

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*Low also 25% Dec 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Jun 12 Mar 15 Sep 29 Aug 03 Jun 14 Apr 10 May 13 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2003 2010* Approve 27 29 31 34 32 49 25

Disapprove 51 54 54 50 50 24 59 DK/NA 21 17 16 16 18 27 16 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 51% 29 20 Rep 38% 45 17 Dem 69% 12 19 Ind 44% 33 23 Men 51% 32 17 Wom 51% 25 24

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low May 28 Dec 16 2009 2010 56 21 23 39 29 32

Jun 12 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 51 29 20

Mar 14 2012 46 27 26

Sep 28 2011 46 30 24

Aug 02 2011 48 29 23

Jun 15 2011 47 26 27

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40% 27 32 Rep 62% 14 24 Dem 26% 40 35 Ind 36% 29 36 Men 44% 29 26 Wom 36% 26 38

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator? Jun 12 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 40 27 32 Mar 14 2012 42 28 31 Sep 28 2011 43 32 26 Aug 02 2011 44 31 25 Jun 15 2011 45 28 27 Apr 28 2011 43 25 31 Feb 17 2011 41 21 39

11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46% 49 4 Rep 10% 87 3 Dem 82% 14 4 Ind 44% 53 3 Men 42% 55 3 Wom 51% 44 6 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 46% 49 5 49% 48 3 48% 48 5

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 49% 49 2 45% 50 5

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 57% 38 5 51% 48 2 45% 52 3 35% 62 3

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low May 04 Apr 28 2009 2011 66 29 5 42 53 5

Jun 12 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46 49 4

May 03 2012 50 46 4

Mar 28 2012 45 50 5

Mar 14 2012 47 49 4

Dec 08 2011 43 52 5

12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 3% 40 39 17 2 Rep 4% 46 36 14 Dem 2% 40 37 19 2 Ind 2% 32 46 17 3 Men 4% 39 41 14 2 Wom 1% 41 37 19 2 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 2% 39 42 15 2 3% 44 38 14 1 3% 39 37 20 2

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 2% 36 43 19 3% 41 37 16 2

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 4% 41 36 19 4% 40 37 20 1% 44 41 12 2 3% 37 40 18 2

Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA

Alghny Philly * 1% 2% 37 45 40 35 18 15 4 3

NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl 2% 45 28 24 1 3% 42 39 16 37 44 18 1 5% 30 43 18 4 4% 39 42 14 1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Jun 05 Dec 15 2002 2010 8 60 22 8 3 2 35 37 25 1

Jun 12 2012 Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA 3 40 39 17 2

Mar 15 2012 3 40 38 19 -

Sep 29 2011 2 41 37 19 1

Aug 03 2011 3 38 36 22 1

Jun 14 2011 2 37 38 22 1

13. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 48% 47 5 Rep 10% 85 5 Dem 84% 12 3 Ind 46% 47 7 Men 45% 52 3 Wom 51% 42 7 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 47% 48 5 48% 46 6 50% 45 4

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 48% 48 3 48% 46 6

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 60% 33 7 52% 45 3 45% 50 5 37% 60 3

TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*Low also 42% Apr 2011, Jul 2010) YES/DESERVES.. High Low May 03 Aug 02 2012 2011* 50 46 4 42 52 6

Jun 12 2012 Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 48 47 5

May 03 2012 50 46 4

Mar 28 2012 46 50 4

Mar 14 2012 47 49 5

Dec 08 2011 47 49 4

14. Do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 49% 32 19 Rep 29% 55 17 Dem 73% 11 16 Ind 44% 35 21 Men 48% 36 15 Wom 50% 28 22

TREND: Do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? YES/DESERVES.. High Low Jun 12 Dec 16 2012 2010 49 32 19 40 33 27

Jun 12 2012 Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA 49 32 19

Mar 14 2012 48 30 21

Sep 28 2011 48 31 20

Aug 02 2011 47 33 19

Jun 15 2011 47 31 21

15. Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 77% 18 5 Rep 58% 36 6 Dem 93% 5 2 Ind 84% 13 3 Men 78% 17 5 Wom 77% 18 5 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 79% 14 7 79% 19 2 74% 22 4

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 82% 15 3 75% 19 6

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 79% 14 7 77% 20 3 77% 19 3 81% 15 4

16. Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 58% 29 13 Rep 77% 12 11 Dem 44% 42 14 Ind 55% 33 12 Men 61% 27 12 Wom 54% 31 14 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 52% 33 15 63% 27 10 60% 26 13

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 60% 30 10 57% 29 15

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 52% 32 17 57% 33 10 58% 29 12 64% 28 8

17. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would - do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Obama Romney DK/NA 41% 49 11 Rep 7% 87 6 Dem 78% 13 9 Ind 34% 51 15 Men 38% 54 8 Wom 44% 43 13 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 38% 50 12 43% 49 8 46% 44 10

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Romney DK/NA 41% 52 7 41% 47 12

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 53% 35 12 43% 49 8 40% 52 8 29% 63 8

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Jun 12 2012 Obama Romney DK/NA 41 49 11 May 03 2012 44 43 12 Mar 28 2012 42 48 10 Dec 08 2011 42 48 11 Nov 10 2011 41 45 13

18. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would - do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Obama Romney DK/NA 53% 34 13 Rep 20% 66 14 Dem 86% 6 8 Ind 52% 33 15 Men 52% 37 11 Wom 55% 31 15 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 52% 32 16 56% 35 9 53% 35 12

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Romney DK/NA 56% 36 8 52% 33 15

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 64% 23 13 56% 37 7 55% 35 10 41% 48 11

19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would - create more jobs, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Obama Romney DK/NA 43% 45 12 Rep 11% 81 8 Dem 76% 14 10 Ind 39% 44 16 Men 40% 50 10 Wom 45% 40 15 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 42% 44 14 43% 49 8 46% 42 12

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Obama Romney DK/NA 44% 48 7 42% 44 14

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 54% 33 13 46% 43 11 42% 49 9 31% 58 10

20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget? Tot Approve Disapprove DK/NA 33% 53 14 Rep 52% 33 14 Dem 16% 73 11 Ind 32% 53 15 Men 38% 50 12 Wom 28% 56 16 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 30% 56 14 37% 52 11 34% 52 15

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 34% 57 9 32% 52 16

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 25% 58 17 30% 56 14 35% 55 10 45% 47 9

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget? Jun 12 2012 Approve Disapprove DK/NA 33 53 14 Mar 15 2012 36 49 15 Sep 29 2011 40 45 16 Aug 03 2011 41 45 14 Jun 14 2011 33 52 15 Apr 27 2011 35 52 13

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21. Do you think that Pennsylvania's economy has gotten better, worse, or stayed about the same since Tom Corbett took office? Tot Better Worse The same DK/NA 11% 33 50 6 Rep 20% 19 55 5 Dem 7% 41 44 8 Ind 7% 38 50 4 Men 13% 30 51 5 Wom 10% 35 48 7 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 10% 31 50 8 11% 36 49 3 12% 33 49 6

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Better Worse The same DK/NA 12% 32 53 4 11% 33 48 7

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 13% 38 41 8 10% 43 45 2 11% 29 51 9 13% 24 61 2

22a. (If economy better q21) Do you credit Barack Obama or Tom Corbett more for this change? ECONOMY BETTER Q21 Tot Obama Corbett NEITHER (VOL) BOTH (VOL) DK/NA 30% 66 4 -

22b. (If economy worse q21) Do you blame Barack Obama or Tom Corbett more for this change? ECONOMY WORSE Q21 Tot Obama Corbett NEITHER (VOL) BOTH (VOL) DK/NA 15% 63 11 8 3

23. As you may know, there is a new state law that requires voters to show a photo identification card to vote. Some people say voter I.D. laws are needed to prevent voter fraud. Others say the laws are designed to suppress turnout by low-income people and minorities. Do you support or oppose the new state law that requires voters to show a photo identification card to vote? Tot Support Oppose DK/NA 66% 32 1 Rep 91% 7 2 Dem 46% 53 1 Ind 64% 35 1 Men 68% 31 2 Wom 65% 34 1 AGE IN YRS....... 18-49 50-64 65+ 66% 33 2 65% 34 1 67% 32 1

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Support Oppose DK/NA 65% 33 2 67% 32 1

ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 62% 36 1 68% 31 1 70% 28 2 63% 35 2

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