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June 15 2012

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The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from ValuEngine.com. In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com!

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

started week
12553.81 2882.49 775.8 1325.72

Thursday Close
12651.9 2836.33 762.34 1329.1

4 day change
98.09 -46.16 -13.46 3.38

4 day change %
0.78% -1.60% -1.73% 0.25%

ytd
3.55% 8.87% 2.89% 5.69%

Summary of VE Stock Universe


Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 73.76% 26.24% 38.07% 10.10%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
1.16% -0.02% 0.56% 1.19% 0.46% 1.46% 0.59% 0.28% 0.90% 0.67% 1.13% 0.36% 0.63% 0.72% 0.66% 0.84%

MTD
-0.42% -1.17% 2.08% -0.25% -0.63% -0.70% -1.78% 0.05% 0.93% -0.75% 2.77% -0.89% -1.21% -0.96% -1.35% 2.31%

YTD
-1.88% -0.82% -5.23% 2.95% 3.55% 11.81% 5.68% 6.15% 11.04% -1.84% 8.99% 2.70% -12.23% 5.84% 2.95% -2.87%

Valuation
2.34% undervalued 19.83% undervalued 14.89% undervalued 6.21% undervalued 1.71% overvalued 11.28% undervalued 5.27% undervalued 7.79% overvalued 3.93% overvalued 0.76% undervalued 3.68% overvalued 3.16% undervalued 16.10% undervalued 0.73% overvalued 7.03% undervalued 7.71% overvalued

Last 12-M Return


-12.93% -18.96% -32.57% -6.41% -13.75% -10.62% -5.84% -7.06% -1.44% -15.11% -12.72% -10.96% -28.22% 3.37% -17.02% -6.05%

P/E Ratio
36.88 17.99 22.65 32.91 36.68 42.02 29.45 18.4 21.92 19.17 28.38 13.66 24.88 25.43 23.84 18.88

Sector TalkADRs and Foreign Stocks


Below, we present the latest data on leading ADRs and Foreign Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five ADRs and Foreign Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns


Ticker
TEO FMCN TEF ABV EBR

Name
TELECOM ARGENTI FOCUS MEDIA HLD TELEFONICA S.A. AMBEV-PR ADR ELETROBRAS-ADR

Mkt Price
11.12 19.2 12.24 36.32 6.71

Valuation(%)
-46 -44.54 -36.13 -2.81 N/A

Last 12-M Retn(%)


3.86 10.65 3.68 21.92 3.13

Top-Five ADRs and Foreign Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns


Ticker
TEO TEF EBR ABV FMCN

Name
TELECOM ARGENTI TELEFONICA S.A. ELETROBRAS-ADR AMBEV-PR ADR FOCUS MEDIA HLD

Mkt Price
11.12 12.24 6.71 36.32 19.2

Valuation(%)
-46 -36.13 N/A -2.81 -44.54

P/E Ratio
3.86 3.68 3.13 21.92 10.65

Top-Five ADRs and Foreign Stocks--Composite Score


Ticker
BP AHONY GA STO RDS.A

Name
BP PLC AHOLD N V ADR GIANT INTERACTV STATOIL ASA-ADR ROYAL DTCH SH-A

Mkt Price
38.83 11.33 4.88 22.7 64.32

Valuation(%)
-27.55 -57.41 -38.98 -19.6 -14.15

P/E Ratio
5.95 9.11 6.64 4.67 7.46

Top-Five ADRs and Foreign Stocks--Most Overvalued


Ticker
NTDOY AMRN AUO GOL KOF

Name
NINTENDO LTD AMARIN CORP PLC AU OPTRONCS-ADR GOL LINHAS-ADR COCA-COLA FEMSA

Mkt Price
14.06 11.61 3.88 4.05 119.36

Valuation(%)
300 300 300 83.43 52.79

P/E Ratio
N/A 27.99 N/A N/A 27.74

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know, ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a variety of portfolio screening and creation tools. If you are reading this you should sign up for ValuEngine's award-winning To Sign Up for a stock valuation and forecast FREE TRIAL, service at the low price of Please Click $19.95/month! HERE NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAY FREE TRIAL!

Free Report Download for Subscribers*


*NOTE: FREE DOWNLOAD LINK IS FIXED As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are now offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Reports.
This week's free download is our report on Sirius XM Radio (SIRI). Sirius XM Radio Inc. broadcasts its music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and weather channels in the United States on a subscription fee basis through its two satellite radio systems. Subscribers can also receive certain of its music and other channels over the Internet, including through applications for mobile devices. As of December 31, 2011, it had 21,892,824 subscribers. Its subscribers include subscribers under its regular and discounted pricing plans; subscribers that have prepaid, including payments made or due from automakers for subscriptions included in the sale or lease price of a vehicle; radios activated for daily rental fleet programs, and subscribers to its Internet services who do not also have satellite radio subscriptions. In June 2011, Canadian Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. (CSR), the parent company of XM Canada, and Sirius Canada completed a transaction to combine their operations.

Weekly Subscribers can download a FREE Detailed Valuation Report on Sirius XM HERE If you have not subscribed and want to be able to receive a FREE $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Report, you can subscribe to our Free Weekly Newsletter HERE.

What's Hot-ValuTrader
ValuEngine.com Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier has posted some very impressive results for 2012 with his ValuTrader Model Portfolio Newsletter. He has closed out 66 long positions and 4 short positions in 2012 so far. His hit percentage year to date is 90.91% on closed out longs and 100.00% on closed out shorts. On a trade-by-trade basis he is 2.38% ahead of like trades for the S&P 500 on longs and 0.62% on shorts. The model portfolio is up 14.00% (on a $120,000 investment) for closed positions versus 5.4% for the S&P 500.

Check out some of 2012s top trades so far: On May 10th, NVIDIA (NVDA) was added to the ValuTrader Model Portfolio at $12.30. This buy and trade was removed at $12.30 on May 11th for a one day gain of 11.8%. On April 16th, Overseas Shipholding (OSG) was added to the model portfolio at $10.55. This buy and trade was removed at $11.35 on April 25th for a gain of 12.9%. On March 5th, CSX Corp (CSX) was added to the model portfolio at $20.40. This buy and trade was removed at $22.31 on April 17th for a gain of 9.4%. Here is Suttmeier's win/loss record since portfolio inception:
Time Frame Long Winners
20 112 139 50 321

Long Losers
2 31 54 5 93

Hit %

Short Winners
91 102 13 4 210

Short Losers
62 73 13 0 148

Hit %

Total Winners
111 214 152 64 541

Total Losers
64 104 67 6 241

Hit %

2009 from July 13th Calendar Year 2010 Calendar Year 2011 2012 Year to Date Since Inception

90.91% 78.32% 72.02% 90.91% 78.07%

59.48% 58.29% 50.00% 100.00% 58.66%

63.43% 67.30% 69.41% 91.43 69.18%

With Suttmeier's Buy and Trade strategy, investors are no longer at the mercy of the market because they are no longer a passive investor sitting on the sidelines watching as a position declines, hoping that over the long term they will end up with a gain. With Buy and Trade, investors make gains by capturing market volatility with a set of pre-determined price targets based on Suttmeier's proprietary market analytics. It works like this: Suttmeier assumes that a stocks price is the most important element in stock selection and in stock trading. By analyzing the past nine weekly, monthly, quarterly, semiannual and annual closes--under the assumption that nine years of data is enough to assume all possible bullish or bearish eventshe calculates the most important action prices for any stock. With the ValuTrader Model Portfolio Suttmeier combines the action prices of his Buy and Trade system with ValuEngine's valuation, forecast, and ratings data on more than 8000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stocks that trade on US exchanges. Subscribers get email alerts whenever there is a trade, and they also receive cash allocation levels that reflect his latest thinking on the state of the market.

With Richard Suttmeier's Click HERE to ValuTrader Newsletter download a FREE Portfolio, you get timely Sample of Richard stock picks and a strategy Suttmeier's designed to profit from ValuTrader today's volatile market Newsletter environment. Portfolio

Now YOU can take Advantage of Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" Strategy Click HERE to Sign Up for Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier's ValuTrader Model Portfolio Newsletter!

Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com Treasury Yields 10-Year--((1.632) Daily, semiannual and monthly value levels are 1.730, 1.903 and 1.909 with weekly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 1.515, 1.407 and 1.385. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold--($1625.6) My annual value level is $1388.4 with weekly, annual and daily pivots at $1566.7, $1575.8 and $1605.5, and semiannual and monthly risky levels at $1635.8, $1659.4 and $1695.4. My quarterly risky level is $1871.9. The 50-day / 200day SMAs: $1615.3 / $1679.3.

Nymex Crude--($84.30) My semiannual value level is $79.83 with weekly and daily pivots at $82.90 and $83.41, and quarterly, annual and semiannual risky levels at $101.55, $103.58 and $104.84. The Euro--(1.2624) A monthly value level is 1.2064 with weekly and daily pivots at 1.2514 and 1.2600, and monthly, semiannual and quarterly risky levels at 1.2815, 1.2980 and 1.3366. The June 2010 low is 1.1880. Major Indices Daily Dow: (12,652) My annual value level is 12,312 with a weekly pivot at 12,521, and quarterly and daily risky levels at 12,794 and 12,864, and annual and monthly risky levels are 14,032 and 14,201. S&P 500 (1329.1) My weekly value level is 1306.8 with quarterly, daily, annual, monthly and annual risky levels at 1337.7, 1354.6, 1363.2, 1504.8 and 1562.9. NASDAQ (2836) Weekly and annual value levels are 2775 and 2698 with daily, quarterly, annual and monthly risky levels at 2897, 2911, 3232 and 3248. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2540) Weekly and annual value levels are 2469 and 2300 with daily, annual, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 2588, 2603, 2608 and 2873. Dow Transports (5057) My weekly value level is 4994 with daily and quarterly risky levels at 5175 and 5420, and the all time high set at 5627.85 on July 11, 2011. Russell 2000 (762.34) No value level with a weekly pivot at 759.45, and daily, quarterly and annual risky levels at 780.62, 829.34 and 836.15, and the all time high set at 868.57 on May 2, 2011. The SOX (369.15) My weekly value level is 349.93 with daily, quarterly and monthly risky levels at 385.26, 416.01 and 449.21, and the 2011 high at 474.33 set on February 18, 2011.

ValuEngine.com Tools and Services


We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd. In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports

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