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Lecture 2
Rationale behind each M&A deal differs. More often than not strategic considerations outweigh the financial considerations.
Unfortunate but true. Recall the Synergy Trap. Also remember that entrepreneurs are by nature driven by an adventurous spirit.
Regulatory framework.
Licensing regime.
Anti-monopoly laws. Other statutory issues New entrants face the risk of pre-emptive action by incumbents.
Market penetration:
Target selling same product. Target serves as channel for acquirers existing products. Target is in business of complementary products.
Market extension:
Product extension:
Diversification
Donor-recipient mode:
Transfer of resources and capabilities from acquirer improves performance of acquired firm. In the past, I've observed that may acquisition-hungry managers were apparently mesmerized by their childhood reading of the story about frog-kissing princess. Remembering her success, they pay dearly for the right to kiss corporate toads, expecting wondrous transfigurations. Initially, disappointing results only deepen their desire to round up new toads.
Donor-recipient mode:
Ultimately, even the most optimistic manager must face reality. Standing knee deep in unresponsive toads, he then announces an enormous "restructuring" charge. In this corporate equivalent of a Head Start program, the CEO receives the education, but the stockholders pay the tuition... In my early days as a manager I, too, dated a few toads. They were cheap dates - I've never been much of a sport but my results matched those of acquirers who courted higher-priced toads. I kissed and they croaked. Warren Buffett in 1992
Participative mode:
Collusive mode:
NPV = Discounted Free Cash Flows from the project reduced by Initial Investment. NPV = Discounted Free Cash Flows from the acquisition reduced by Investment required for Acquisition.
In case of Acquisitions:
M&A decisions are a result of a complex interplay of firms corporate objectives and styles:
Great track record in acquisitions; So whats his strategy? Answer: There is no strategy
business or industries we will enter. Indeed, we think it's usually poison for a corporate giant's shareholders if it embarks upon new ventures pursuant to some grand vision. We prefer instead to focus on the economic characteristics of businesses that we wish to own and the personal characteristics of managers with whom we wish to associate - and then hope we get lucky in finding the two in combination.
Even so, we do have a few advantages, perhaps the greatest being that we don't have a strategic plan. Thus we feel no need to proceed in an ordained direction (a course leading almost invariably to silly purchase prices) but can instead simply decide what makes sense for our owners. In doing that, we always mentally compare any move we are contemplating with dozens of other opportunities open to us, including the purchase of small pieces of the best businesses in the world via the stock market. Our practice of making this comparison of acquisitions against passive investments is a discipline that managers focused simply on expansion seldom use. Instead, he focuses on a few simple principles.
Focuses only on businesses he understands and about which he can make accurate predictions. Does not have any corporate planning department
Gets interested in the stock market when he gets better value there. Never looks at projections of investment bankers of the sellers.
The smarter side to take in a bidding war is often the losing side.