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PERT is a method to analyze the involved tasks in completing a given project, especially the time needed to complete each task, and identifying the minimum time needed to complete the total project. PERT was developed primarily to simplify the planning and scheduling of large and complex projects. It was developed by Bill Pocock for the U.S. Navy Special Projects Office in 1957 to support the U.S. Navy's Polaris nuclear submarine project.
The Program (or Project) Evaluation and Review Technique, commonly abbreviated PERT, is a statistical tool, used in project management, that is designed to analyze and represent the tasks involved in completing a given project. PERT can be considered as a roadmap of a particular project in which all major events have been identified and relationship among events clearly indicated
Definition
Project management technique that shows the time taken by each component of a project, and the total time required for its completion. PERT breaks down the project into events and activities, and lays down their proper sequence, relationships, and duration in the form of a network. Lines connecting the events are called paths, and the longest path resulting from connecting all events is called the critical path. The length (duration) of the critical path is the duration of the project.
PERT event: a point that marks the start or completion of one or more activities. It consumes no time and uses no resources. When it marks the completion of one or more tasks, it is not reached (does not occur) until all of the activities leading to that event have been completed. predecessor event: an event that immediately precedes some other event without any other events intervening. An event can have multiple predecessor events and can be the predecessor of multiple events. successor event: an event that immediately follows some other event without any other intervening events. An event can have multiple successor events and can be the successor of multiple events. PERT activity: the actual performance of a task which consumes time and requires resources (such as labor, materials, space, machinery). It can be understood as representing the time, effort, and resources required to move from one event to another. A PERT activity cannot be performed until the predecessor event has occurred.
Terminology
optimistic time (O): the minimum possible time required to accomplish a task, assuming everything proceeds better than is normally expected pessimistic time (P): the maximum possible time required to accomplish a task, assuming everything goes wrong (but excluding major catastrophes). most likely time (M): the best estimate of the time required to accomplish a task, assuming everything proceeds as normal. expected time (TE): the best estimate of the time required to accomplish a task, accounting for the fact that things don't always proceed as normal TE = (O + 4M + P) 6
Examples In the following example, the Project manager know succesion of the project activities and the optimistic, pesimistic and most likely time (in weeks) for the following activities
Activity Description Predecesors Optimistic time (0) Pesimistic time (P) Most likely time (M) Expected time (0+4M+P)/6
15
12
12
13
C D
A B
12
10
10
17
10
18
34
23
24
Interview applicants and fill positions in nursing support staff, maintenance, and security.
15
10
30
40
35
35
35
49
39
40
12
18
15
15
E, G, H
F, I, J
11
A= meeting to finalize the idea of setting up an ICU B = planning the infrastructure C = prepare the list of articles needed to the unit and put tender notice d =finalize the tender G =order for the articles aa E = prepare the budget, both capital and operating F = draw the plan of ICU, and estimate the cost H- give the work to the contractors to start the work I get the materials like cemnt gravel tiles electric and plumbing materials J = start the project
Benefits of PERT
It provides information about the
expected project completion time probability of completion before the specified date the critical path activities that directly impact the completion time the activities that can slack time activity start and end dates
Weakness of PERT
Is probabilistic in nature Is time and labor intensive Time estimate is subjective Despite the well planned time distribution the actual plan may be different Any delay in any activity can alter the path and cause delay in the progress Mostly used in large complex projects
Estimates the time needed for each activity, the longest possible time . a cost estimate is figured for both normal and crash operating conditions
CPM techniques are used to guide project managers in making resource allocation decisions CPM enhances a manager's ability to use resources in an efficient way by providing a strategy for determining which activities can be expedited to minimize total project costs. during the life of a project.
Definition of CPM
Its a mathematical based algorithm for scheduling a set of project activities, which is a set of sequential task upon which the project completion date depends or the longest full path. For an evaluation the managers observe the critical path and compare with the progress
Format of CPM
Outline the patient care process based on time matrix List the components of care in one column, cross aligned with columns pertaining to time Give specific actions for each day of hospitalization Mark transition points of patient progress Layout a co-ordinated map of staff activites to achieve the transitions in the most effective way as possible.
Topic selection - hospital care associated with high volume, high cost diagnosis and procedures, particulary those with inefficient variation in care process
Named after its developer, Henry L Gannt . Highly developed schedules that allow one to visualize multiple tasks that have to be done