Profitability index Internal rate of return Payback period
Modified profitability index
Modified internal rate of return Present value payback
Strengths and weaknesses of various methods
Know the reasons for multiple measures and when each would be appropriately used in reality
Calculating a Net Present Value
Steps
to calculate the net present value:
Step 1 -- Lay out the years and cash flows Step 2 -- Discount back to present with the NPV function Step 3 -- Net the result of step 2 with the initial outlay
Calculating a Profitability Index
Steps
to calculate the profitability index:
Step 1 -- Calculate the net present value Step 2 -- Use the formula in the book to calculate the PI PI = 1 + NPV/ Initial outlay (always positive)
What Does the Profitability Index
Measure? The
wealth created per dollar of initial
outlay The margin of safety or margin for error
When Would You Use the
Profitability Index? As a very crude short cut when your firm is facing capital rationing Capital rationing may exist when the firm is not large enough or profitable enough to raise money in the capital markets This is not uncommon for small, new or rapidly growing businesses You must still watch for size differentials Might use this when you cannot see all your projects at one time (which is often the case)
The Modified Profitability Index
Steps to calculate the Modified Profitability Index:
Calculate the NPV Start at the rightmost negative number Discount the amount in step 2 back one year by dividing by the 1+ the interest rate Net step three with that years cash flow If negative, continue steps 3 and 4 If positive, stop, this is a self financing project and MPI = PI When arriving at 0 you have the additional investment Add the additional investment to the initial outlay to get the initial commitment Use the formula MPI = 1 + NPV / Initial commitment (always positive)
Strengths of the Modified
Profitability Index
Strengths of the modified profitability index over the
profitability index It tells you the up front initial commitment needed to finish the project You can use this to: Ask the regulators for rate hikes or commitments Raise the appropriate amount of money up front rather than at many points in the future. (negative signal and costly)
Calculating the Internal
Rate of Return Steps
to calculate the internal rate of return:
Lay out the years and cash flows Discount back to present with the IRR function on the calculator as described in earlier chapters Must use the goal seek tool (under the tools menu) on the computer if you have mid-year cash flows
Weaknesses of the Internal Rate of Return Weaknesses
of the internal rate of return:
It assumes that new projects will come along in future years that will pay at least the internal rate of return (reinvestment rate assumption It ignores the size of the project
Calculating the Modified
Internal Rate of Return Steps
to calculate the modified internal rate of return:
Begin with year 1 and grow to the end of the project by multiplying by 1 plus the discount rate raised to the remaining years Do this for all remaining cash flows Sum the terminal values Fill the intermediate years with zeros Use the IRR function to solve for the modified IRR
Strengths of the Modified
Internal Rate of Return Strengths
of the modified internal rate of return:
It eliminates the reinvestment rate assumption
There appears to be many cases where companies in the US are generating more cash than worthwhile projects. In this case, the MIRR may give a better indication of the return from the project MIRR is a worst case scenario which assumes that excess cash is used to retire debt and equity. By definition this action earns the cost of money
Calculating a Payback Period
Steps
to calculating the payback period:
Lay out your years and cash flow Accumulate the cash flows Identify where the accumulation goes from negative to positive Use the year on the left Use the result in step 4 and add the amount needed divided by the amount received
Strengths and Weaknesses of the
Payback Period Method Weaknesses
of the payback method:
It ignores the time value of money It ignores all cash flows after the payback period It ignores risk Strengths of the payback method: It is a measure of liquidity It can be used as a short cut in industries where the product life is very short
Calculating the Present Value Payback
Period
Steps to calculate the present value payback
Lay out the years and cash flows Bring the cash flows back to present by dividing by (1 + discount rate) raised to the number of years Accumulate the cash flows
the accumulation should equal the NPV in the last year
Identify where the accumulation goes from negative to
positive Use the year on the left Use the result in step 4 and add the amount needed divided by the present value amount received
The Accounting Rate of Return
Calculating
the accounting rate of return
There are many different ways to calculate an accounting rate of return All of these methods ignore the time value of money
Reasons for Multiple Measures
Different
measures for different
circumstances Multiple measure allow members of the committee to use the measures with which they are comfortable Multiple measures may provide better information