Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Types of Studies
Cross
Sectional
Cohort study
Case Control
Case
T i m e
l i n e
Report
Case `Series
Clinical Trial
Screening Criteria
Original Studies
Therapy
_____ ?
Diagnosis
_____ ?
Harm
_____ ?
Prognosis
_____ ?
Integrative Studies
Overview
_____ ?
Practice Guidelines
_____ ?
Decision Analysis
_____ ?
Modified from American Medical Association. JAMA 1993; 270(17):2094
Screening Criteria
Original Studies
Therapy
Diagnosis
Harm
Were there clearly identified comparison groups that were similar with respect
to important determinants of outcome (other than the ones of interest) ?
Were outcomes and exposures measured in the same way in the groups being
compared ?
Prognosis
Was there a representative patient sample at a well defined point in the course
of disease ?
Was follow-up sufficiently long and complete ?
Screening Criteria
Integrative Studies
Overview
Practice guidelines
Decision analysis
Yes
No
Exposed
Not Exposed
Gold standard
Negative (condition
not present )
Test result
Positive
True Positive
False Positive
Test result
Negative
False Negative
True Negative
Stable Properties:
Sensitivity = True Positives/(True Positives + False Negatives)
Specificity = True Negatives/(False Positive + True Negative)
Frequency Dependent Properties:
Positive Predictive Value = True Positive/(True Positive + False
Positive)
Negative Predictive Value = True Negative/(True Negative + False
Negative)
Likelihood Ratios
The likelihood ratio for a test result compares the likelihood of that result in
patients with disease to the likelihood of that result in patients without disease:
Condition
Present
Condition Absent
Test Positive
Test Negative
Positive LR = (a/a+c)/(b/b+d)
Negative LR = (c/a+c)/(d/b+d)
Causation/Harm/Etiology
Are the results of this study valid ?
Were there clearly defined groups of patients,
similar in all important ways other than exposure
to the treatment or other cause?
Causation/Harm/Etiology
Is it clear that the exposure preceded the onset of the
outcome ?
Is there a dose-response gradient ?
Outcome
Negative
Exposure
No Exposure
Odds Ratio
Randomize
d controlled
trials
Cohort
studies
Casecontrol
studies
RR=
(a/a+b)/(c/c+d)
OR=
(a/c)/
(b/d)=ad/b
c
Interpreting strength of
association
For randomized trial, strong
association if RR or OR > 1
For cohort study, strong association if
RR > 3 or OR > 4
Prognosis
Are the results of this prognosis study valid ?
Was a defined, representative sample of patients
assembled at a common (usually early) point in
the course of their disease?
Was patient follow-up sufficiently long and
complete?
Were objective outcome criteria applied in a
"blind" fashion?
If subgroups with different prognoses are
identified, was there adjustment for important
prognostic factors?
Was there validation in an independent group
("test set") of patients?
Prognosis
Are the results of this prognosis study important?
How likely are the outcomes over
time ?
How precise are the prognostic
estimates ?
Typical Calculation of
CI
If p = 24/60 = 0.4 (or
40%) and n = 60
Limitations of CATs
1.
2.
3.
Level 1 of Evidence
Level
1a
Therapy/Prevention,
Aetiology/Harm
Prognosis
Diagnosis
SR (with homogeneity*) of
Level 1 diagnostic
studies; CDR with 1b
studies from different
clinical centres
1b
1c
All or none
Individual inception
cohort study with >
80% follow-up;
CDR validated in a
single population
Level 2 of Evidence
Level
Therapy/Prevention,
Aetiology/Harm
Prognosis
Diagnosis
2a
SR (with homogeneity* ) of
cohort studies
SR (with homogeneity*) of
either retrospective cohort
studies or untreated
control groups in RCTs
SR (with homogeneity*) of
Level >2 diagnostic studies
2b
Retrospective cohort
study or follow-up of
untreated control patients
in an RCT; Derivation of
CDR or validated on
split-sample only
2c
Outcomes" Research;"
Ecological studies
Outcomes" Research"
Therapy/Prevention,
Aetiology/Harm
Prognosis
Diagnosis
3a
SR (with homogeneity*) of
case-control studies
SR (with homogeneity*) of 3b
and better studies
3b
Individual Case-Control
Study
Non-consecutive study; or
without consistently applied
reference standards
Case-series (and
Case-series (and
poor quality cohort and case- poor quality prognostic co
control studies
hort studies***
)
)
5
Expert opinion without
Expert opinion without
explicit critical appraisal, or
explicit critical appraisal,
based on physiology, bench
or based on physiology,
"research or "first principles
bench research or "first
"principles
Grades of Recommendation
A
Old world
EBM world
Source of knowledge
Expert opinion
Essential skills
Clinical
Experts
Textbooks
Selected journals
High
Low
High
Consultant to Juniors
Dictatorship
Democratic
Optional
Essential
Low
High
Relationship to patients
Expert to pupil
BMA/ScHARR
CRITICAL
APPRAISAL
SKILLS
WORKSHOP
Practice
appraisal skills
training for the NHS
(Anglia and Oxford)
Appraises:
Reliability Validity;
Applicability
http://www.phru.org.uk/
~casp/index.htm
Why is it important?
Why is it important?
A requirement for the EBM component of Membership
Exams (e.g. GP, Psych, Family Planning etcetera)
Royal College of Ophthalmologists:
Professional Attitudes and Conduct:
Through encouragement of personal development, to have
developed a style of care which is :
Scientific (e.g. critical appraisal of the scientific literature,
evidence-based practice and use of information technology and
statistics.)
Assess relative
merits/demerits
Make overall assessment
(strength of evidence)
Apply findings (strength
of recommendations)
Principles of appraisal
Intrinsic
Not
Learning outcomes
Skills learned can be used in 3 important ways:
Critical appraisal skills can be used to improve clinical decisionmaking by the implementation of evidence-based healthcare.
Evidence can be used to inform decisions about health policy,
for example, in making choices
about the prioritisation
of services.
The approach can be used to empower consumers of the
health services.
Getting started
Scenario
Appraising a paper
Three
Characteristics
Summaries
Comprehensive
Systematic
Explicit
Reproducible
focused question
databases covered
time period, language
search strategy
inclusion, exclusion criteria
How
Are
Can
Were
Sources of reviews
Cochrane Collaboration
Cochrane Library
HTA reports
InterTASC/NICE
Summary
CATs are a tactic for helping clinical learners teach themselves
how to formulate clinical questions; search for the best
evidence; appraise, organise and summarise this evidence;
integrate it with clinical expertise; and practice evidencebased medicine. When generated by clinical teams, journal
clubs, or in academic half-days, their educational value is
multiplied. Existing CATs can be used as starting points for
seeking and appraising updates in the relevant evidence.
The CAT-maker assists this process by:
1.
carrying out the important clinical calculations;
2.
storing appraisals (as well as the search strategies that led
to them); and
3.
generating files that can be formatted with word-processors,
stored and printed for other team members.
Thank You