The PCAM hypothesis implies that, for an acquiring
firm, there are no monopolistic sources of gains, due solely to merging as a way of obtaining productive capacity. The Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis (ECMH) The efficient capital market hypothesis states that stock prices adjust instantaneously to new information. Stock prices provide unbiased signals for efficient resource allocation. The Abnormal Gains Hypothesis (AGH) This hypothesis states that information regarding forthcoming acquisitions is generally considered as good news for the stockholders of the acquiring firms The Chain Letter Hypothesis (CLH) The chain letter hypothesis implies that shareholders are misled by manipulation of accounting numbers so that the announcement of a forthcoming merger is followed by rise in stock prices of the acquiring firm. The Growth Maximisation Hypothesis (GMH) This hypothesis states that managers maximize or at least pursue, as one of their goals, growth in physical size of their corporation rather than its profits or stockholders welfare. Market Power Hypothesis The market power hypothesis implies that mergers increase product prices, thereby benefitting the merging firms and other competing firms in the industry. Collusion Hypothesis The proposition is that rivals benefit from the news of Wealth Maximizing or Value Maximizing Hypothesis Mergers should lead to positive expected and total realized gains on an average, since an increase in wealth should accrue from the mergers. Both firms involved in a merger are assumed to be value maximizers. Improved Management Hypothesis
This hypothesis retains the assumption that would be
acquirers maximize value, but assumes that potential target firms are controlled by inefficient management. This hypothesis is related to the concept of market for corporate control. Learning Hypothesis Learning specifically means that the managers of the merging firms extract information from the stock market reaction to the M&A announcement and Size Maximizing Hypothesis The size maximizing hypothesis assumes that the net present value of a merger attempt is non-negative for potential acquired firms
Theory of Corporate Control
Mergers occur when incompetent managers reduce the
value of the firms shares to the point where it is profitable for outsiders to gain control. Mergers, then, can be viewed as effective discipline over management .
Differential Efficiency Theories
(a)Differential Efficiency Differential Theory is the most general theory of mergers. According to this theory, if the management of firm A is more efficient than the management of firm B, and if, after firm A acquires firm B, the efficiency of firm B is brought up to the level of the efficiency of firm A, efficiency is increased by the merger. (b) Inefficient Management Inefficient management simply means not performing upto ones potential. Another group may be able to manage the assets of this area of activity more effectively (c) Operating Synergy
The operating synergy theory postulates economies of
scale, or of scope, and mergers help to achieve levels of activities at which they are obtained. It includes the concept of complementarity of capabilities Operating and financial economies of scale and scope are major determinants for the merger activity (d) Diversification
Diversification of the firm may provide managers and
other employees with job security and opportunities for promotion and, other things being equal, result in lower labour costs Diversification may increase corporate debt capacity and decrease the present value of future tax liability Combining two imperfectly correlated income streams can reduce total earnings variability and, hence, risk . (e) Financial Synergy The Financial Synergy Theory hypothesizes complementarities between merging firms in the availability of investment opportunities and internal cash flows.
A firm in the declining industry would produce large
cash flows since there are few attractive investment opportunities. A growth industry would have more investment opportunities than the cash required to finance them.
The merged firm would have a lower cost of capital,
due to lower cost of internal funds, as well as possible risk reduction, savings in floatation costs and improvement in capital allocation. The debt capacity of the combined firm may be greater than (f) Undervaluation Merger motives may also be attributed to undervaluation of target companies. One cause of undervaluation may be operation of the company below its potential. Information and Signaling Theory This theory suggests that the tender offer disseminates the information that target shares are undervalued, and the offer prompts the market to revalue the shares. No particular action by the target firm, or any other, is necessary to cause revaluation. The signalling theory states that particular actions may convey other significant forms of information. Capital Structure Theory Perspective This theory suggests that, under reasonable conditions, changes in capital structure may affect The capital structure hypothesis states that M&A can be an effective method to adjust the capital structure of a firm.
Value is created when firms with low financial
leverage acquire firms with high financial leverage. Firms with unused debt capacity may be able to create value by using financial slack to acquire other firms. Agency Theory Corporate managers are the agents of shareholders, a relationship fraught with conflicting interests. An attempt is made by the managers to maximize their own wealth, possibly at the expense of the shareholders. This explanation has its origin in the separation of ownership and control in modern corporations. This is known as Agency Theory. Debt reduces the agency costs of free cash flow by reducing the cash flow available for spending at the discretion of managers. Takeovers can be considered as a solution to agency problems Managerialism Mergers are also considered as the manifestation of agency problems rather than their solution.
Hubris Hypothesis
Roll (1986) hypothesizes that managers commit
errors because of over optimism in evaluating merger opportunities. In other words, managers of bidding firms are infected by hubris, and hence overpay for targets, because they overestimate their own ability to run them Free Cash Flow Hypothesis The free cash flow hypothesis, advanced by Jensen (1988), states that managers endowed with free cash flow will invest it in negative net present value (NPV) projects rather than pay it out to shareholders. Jensen defines free cash flow as the cash flow left after the firm has invested in all available positive NPV projects.
Tobin q is often used to measure the firms
investment opportunities.
To the extent that Tobins q measures investment
opportunities, the free cash flow hypothesis suggests that firms with high cash flow and low q are more likely to engage in acquisitions that do not benefit shareholders Market Power The market power theory suggests that merger will increase the firms market share. Increasing market share means increasing the size of the firm relative to other firms in the industry Tax Considerations The effect of tax law on returns to mergers is relatively straightforward. A highly profitable firm, faced with highly effective corporate tax rate, can generate substantial tax savings by acquiring a firm with large accumulated tax losses Redistribution Theory This theory advocates that the source of value increases in mergers is redistribution among the stakeholders of the fi rm. Possible shifts are from bondholders to stockholders and from labour to Merger Contingency Framework This framework has been adapted from the diversification contingency framework. The theory suggests that whether a buyer firm gains or loses from a merger is contingent upon the firms competitive strengths, the growth rate of its markets, and the degree to which these two factors achieve a logical or strategic fit with the competitive strengths and market growth rates of its targeted firm. Asymmetric Theory
This theory explains how any incremental value
associated with a particular merger is shared between the buying and the selling fi rms.