You are on page 1of 49

Chapter 10

Capital-Budgeting
Techniques
and Practice
Learning Objectives

1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable


projects in competitive markets and the importance of the
search.

2. Determine whether a new project should be accepted or


rejected using the payback period, net present value, the
profitability index, and the internal rate of return.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-2


FINDING PROFITABLE
PROJECTS

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-3


Capital Budgeting

Meaning: The process of decision making


with respect to investments in fixed assets
that is, should a proposed project be
accepted or rejected.
It is easier to evaluate profitable projects
than to find them

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-4


Source of Ideas for Projects

R&D: Typically, a firm has a research &


development (R&D) department that
searches for ways of improving existing
products or finding new projects.
Other sources: Employees, Competition,
Suppliers, Customers.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-5


CAPITAL-BUDGETING
DECISION CRITERIA

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-6


Capital-Budgeting
Decision Criteria

The Payback Period


Net Present Value
Internal Rate of Return

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-7


The Payback Period

Meaning: Number of years needed to


recover the initial cash outlay related to an
investment.
Decision Rule: Project is considered feasible
or desirable if the payback period is less
than or equal to the firms maximum desired
payback period. In general, shorter payback
period is preferred while comparing two
projects.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-8


Payback Period Example
Example: Project with an initial cash outlay of $20,000 with following free cash flows for 5 years.

Payback is 4 years.

YEAR CASH BALANCE


FLOW
1 $ 8,000 ($ 12,000)
2 4,000 ( 8,000)
3 3,000 ( 5,000)
4 5,000 0
5 10,000 12,000

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-9


Trade-Offs

Benefits:
Uses cash flows rather than accounting profits
Easy to compute and understand
Useful for firms that have capital constraints
Drawbacks:
Ignores the time value of money
Does not consider cash flows beyond the
payback period

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-10


Discounted Payback Period

The discounted payback period is similar to


the traditional payback period except that it
uses discounted free cash flows rather than
actual undiscounted cash flows.
The discounted payback period is defined as
the number of years needed to recover the
initial cash outlay from the discounted free
cash flows.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-11


Discounted Payback Period

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-12


Table 10-2

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-13


Payback Period Example

Table 10-2 shows the difference between


traditional payback and discounted payback
methods.
With undiscounted free cash flows,
the payback period is only 2 years,
while with discounted free cash flows (at
17%), the discounted payback period is
3.07 years.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-14


Net Present Value (NPV)

NPV is equal to the present value of all


future free cash flows less the investments
initial outlay. It measures the net value of a
project in todays dollars.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-15


NPV Example

Example: Project with an initial cash


outlay of $60,000 with following free cash
flows for 5 years.
Year FCF Year FCF
Initial outlay 60,000 3 13,000
1 25,000 4 12,000
2 24,000 5 11,000
The firm has a 15% required rate of return.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-16


NPV Example

PV of FCF = $60,764
Subtracting the initial cash outlay of
$60,000 leaves an NPV of $764.
Since NPV > 0, project is feasible.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-17


NPV in Excel

Input cash flows for initial outlay and free


cash inflows in cells A1 to A6.
In cell A7 type the following formula:
=A1+npv(0.15,A2:A6)
Excel will give the result NPV = $764.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-18


NPV Trade-Offs

Benefits
Considers all cash flows
Recognizes time value of money
Drawbacks
Requires detailed long-term forecast of cash
flows
NPV is generally considered to be the most
theoretically correct criterion for evaluating
capital budgeting projects.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-19


Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

IRR is the discount rate that equates the


present value of a projects future net cash
flows with the projects initial cash outlay
(IO).

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-20


Internal Rate of Return

Decision Rule:
If IRR Required Rate of Return, accept
If IRR < Required Rate of Return, reject

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-21


Figure 10-1

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-22


IRR and NPV

If NPV is positive, IRR will be greater than


the required rate of return
If NPV is negative, IRR will be less than
required rate of return
If NPV = 0, IRR is the required rate of
return.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-23


IRR Example

Initial Outlay: $3,817


Cash flows: Yr. 1 = $1,000, Yr. 2 =
$2,000, Yr. 3 = $3,000
Discount rate NPV
15% $4,356
20% $3,958
22% $3,817
IRR is 22% because the NPV equals the
initial cash outlay at that rate.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-24


IRR in Excel

IRR can be easily computed in Excel.


In the previous example, input cash outflow
and three yearly cash inflows in cells A1:A4.
In cell A5 input
=IRR(A1:A4)
Excel will give the result IRR = 22%.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-25


Multiple IRRs

A normal cash flow pattern for project is


negative initial outlay followed by positive
cash flows (, +, +, + )
However, if the cash flow pattern is not
normal (such as , +, ) there can be more
than one IRR.
Figure 10-2 is based on cash flows of
1,600, +10,000, 10,000 in years 0, 1, 2.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-26


Multiple IRRs (Figure 10-2)

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-27


CAPITAL RATIONING

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-28


Capital Rationing

Capital rationing refers to situation where


there is a limit on the dollar size of the
capital budget. This may be due to:
a) temporary adverse conditions in the market;
b) shortage of qualified personnel to direct new
projects; and/or
c) other factors such as not being willing to take
on excess debt to finance new projects.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-29


Capital Rationing

How to select? Select a set of projects with


the highest NPVsubject to the capital
constraint.

Note, using NPV may preclude accepting the


highest ranked project in terms of PI or IRR.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-30


Figure 10-4

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-31


Table 10-7

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-32


RANKING MUTUALLY
EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-33


Ranking Mutually
Exclusive Projects

Size Disparity
Time Disparity
Unequal Life

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-34


Size Disparity

This occurs when we examine mutually


exclusive projects of unequal size.
Example: Consider the following cash flows
for one-year Project A and B, with required
rates of return of 10%.
Initial Outlay: A = $200; B = $1,500
Inflow:A = $300; B = $1,900

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-35


Table 10-8

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-36


Size-Disparity
Ranking Problem

Project A Project B
NPV 72.73 227.28
PI 1.36 1.15
IRR 50% 27%

Ranking Conflict:
Using NPV, Project B is better;
Using PI and IRR, Project A is better.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-37


Size-Disparity
Ranking Problem

Which technique to use to select the


project?
Use NPV whenever there is size disparity. If
there is no capital rationing, project with the
largest NPV will be selected. When capital
rationing exists, rank and select set of
projects based on NPV.

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-38


The Time-Disparity Problem

Time-disparity problem arises because of


differing reinvestment assumptions made by
the NPV and IRR decision criteria.
How are cash flows reinvested?
According to NPV: Required rate of return
According to IRR: IRR

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-39


The Time-Disparity Problem

Example: Consider two projects, A and B,


with initial outlay of $1,000, cost of capital
of 10%, and following cash flows in years 1,
2, and 3:
A: $100 $200 $2,000
B: $650 $650 $650

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-40


The Time-Disparity Problem

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-41


The Time-Disparity Problem

Project A Project B
NPV 758.83 616.45
PI 1.759 1.616
IRR 35% 43%

Ranking Conflict:
Using NPV or PI, A is better
Using IRR, B is better
Which technique to use to select the superior
project?
Use NPV

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-42


Key Terms

Capital budgeting
Capital rationing
Discounted payback period
Equivalent annual annuity (EAA)
Internal rate of return (IRR)
Modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
Mutually exclusive projects
Net present value (NPV)
Net present value profile
Payback period
Profitability index (PI) or benefit-cost ratio

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-43


Table 10-1

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-44


Table 10-3

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-45


Table 10-4

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-46


Table 10-5

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-47


Table 10-6

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-48


Table 10-10

Copyright 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10-49

You might also like