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X 1 2 3 4 5 6
P(X) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6
P(S)=.2 SSS
P(S)=.2 X P(x)
P(SC)=.8 S S SC
P(S)=.2 S SC S 3 .23 = .008
P(S)=.2
P(SC)=.8 2 3(.032)=.096
P(SC)=.8 S SC SC 1 3(.128)=.384
P(S)=.2 SC S S
0 .83 = .512
P(SC)=.8 P(S)=.2
P(SC)=.8 SC S SC
P(S)=.2 SC SC S
P(SC)=.8
P(SC)=.8 SC SC SC
P(X=2) is illustrated here
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. 7.11
Final Discrete Probability Distribution
X 0 1 2 3
P(x) 0.008 0.096 0.384 0.512
The mean of a discrete random variable is the weighted average of all
of its values. The weights are the probabilities. This parameter is also
called the expected value of X and is represented by E(X).
The variance is
X 0 1 2 3
P(x) 0.008 0.096 0.384 0.512
Mean = 0*(.008) + 1*(.096) + 2*(.384) + 3*(.512)
= 2.4
2. V(X + c) = V(X)
The variance of a random variable and a constant is just the
variance of the random variable.
3. V(cX) = c2V(X)
The variance of a random variable and a constant coefficient is
the coefficient squared times the variance of the random variable.
for x=0, 1, 2, , n
We already know P(0) = .1074 and P(2) = .3020. Using the binomial
formula to calculate the others:
P(1) = .2684 , P(3) = .2013, and P(4) = .0881
OR
Use binomial tables at back of book for n=10, p=0.2, and x=4 Next
Slide
P(X 4) = .967
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. 7.30
Binomial Table
What is the probability that Pat gets no answers correct?
i.e. what is P(X = 0), given P(success) = .20 and n=10 ?
# trials
P(success)
P(X=2)=.3020
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. 7.33
=BINOMDIST() Excel Function
There is a binomial distribution function in Excel that can
also be used to calculate these probabilities. For example:
What is the probability that Pat fails the quiz?
# successes
# trials
P(success)
cumulative
(i.e. P(Xx)?)
P(X4)=.9672
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. 7.34
Binomial Distribution
As you might expect, statisticians have determined formulas
for the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a binomial
random variable. They are:
FYI:
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. 7.37
Example 7.12
The number of typographical errors in new editions of
textbooks varies considerably from book to book. After
some analysis he concludes that the number of errors is
Poisson distributed with a mean of 1.5 typos per 100 pages.
The instructor randomly selects 100 pages of a new book.
What is the probability that there are no typos?
P(X=0) =
P(X < 4) =
P(X > 9) =