Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Transfer
Transfer
Risk
Risk
Macro-
Macro- Sovereign
Sovereign
economic
economic Risk
Risk
Risk
Risk
COUNTRY
COUNTRY
RISK
RISK
Indirect
Indirect Contagion
Contagion
Country
Country Risk
Risk
Risk
Risk
Currency
Currency
Risk
Risk
Technical forecasting
Fundamental forecasting
Market based forecasting
Mixed forecasting
Whether as a business advisor or a litigation
manager, the value of in-house counsel is to
guide their company clients through a
multitude of legal obstacle courses, with the
primary purpose of managing the legal risk
while enabling the client to achieve its
business goals. Part and parcel of that value
is counsel’s ability to be proactive and
prepared for risk as it arises. In the context of
litigation, where risk can be realized in a very
public manner through court orders and
negative press, investing time to prepare
themselves and the company to proactively
It is based on fundamental relationship
between economic variables and exchange
rates.
◦ e= f[ INF, INT, GC, EXT]
◦ e=% change in the spot rate
◦ INF= change in the differential between U.S.
inflation & the foreign country’s inflation
◦ INT= change in the differential between U.S.
interest rate & the foreign country’s interest rates
◦ INC= change in the differential between U.S.
income level & the foreign country’s income level
◦ GC= change in government controls
◦ EXT= change in expectations of future exchange
rates.
Spot rate
Forward rate
◦ F= s(1+p)
Gains or losses from exchange rate
changes that occur as a result of
converting financial statements from one
currency to another in order to
consolidate them.
Translation exposure= (exposed assets-
exposed liabilities) ( change in exchange
rate)
This exposure refers to the extent to
which the future value of firm’s domestic
cash flow is affected by exchange rate
fluctuations.
The risk of changes in the expected value
of a contract between its signing and its
execution as a result of unexpected
changes in foreign exchange rates.
Whoever makes a contract denominated
in a foreign currency bears transaction
risk.
Changes in competitive position as a result
of permanent changes in exchange rates.
Every company buying or selling abroad or
even just competing with foreign companies
has economic risk.
Translation
methods
Monetary/non-
Current rate Current/non- Temporal
monetary
method current method method
method
Balance sheet: All current assets and current
liabilities are translated into the home
currency at the current exchange rate.
Income statement/P&L a/c: translated at
average exchange rate for the period cover.
AER = Total ER/Number of years
Revenue and expenses related to non-current
assets and long term borrowings at the
historical cost.
Liabilities / Sources Assets/ Applications
Share Capital Fixed Assets
Reserve surplus Investment
Secured Loan Current Assets
t
Unsecured Loan Loan & Advances
Current Liabilities & Miscellaneous
t Provision Expenditure
Profit/Loss A/c
t= current rate
Rest of the balances are on historical cost
300 - 300
1.1786/1.00 1.1000/1.00
-$18.2
Balance sheet hedge: it is never entity specific. It basically
arises on account mismatch of assets and liabilities
denominated in same currency.
A balance sheet hedge requires an equal amount of exposed
foreign currency assets and liabilities on a firm’s consolidated
balance sheet.
These hedges are a compromise in which the denomination
of balance sheet accounts is altered, perhaps at a cost in
terms of interest expense or operating efficiency, to achieve
some degree of foreign exchange protection.
Parallel loan
Purchasing Currency Futures: A firm that buys
a currency futures contract is entitled to
receive a specified amount in a specified
currency for a stated price on a specified
date. E.g. for future payables.
Selling currency futures: A firm that sells a
currency futures contract is entitled to Sell a
specified amount in a specified currency for a
stated price on a specified date. E.g. for
future receivables.
A forward contract hedge is very similar to a
future contract hedge, except that forwards
contracts are commonly used for large
transactions, whereas future contract tend to
be used for smaller amounts.
It involves taking a money market position to
cover a future payables or receivables
position. ()
Money market hedge on payables
Money market hedge on receivables.
Hedging payables with currency call options-
A currency call option provides the right to
buy a specified amount of a particular
currency at a specified price within a given
period of time.
Hedging receivables with currency put
options.
Hedging of Receivables Hedging of Payables
Sell futures or forward Buy futures or forward