Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Portland, ME
Why We’re Here/What we’re Doing
Societal Relevance
Everyone Participates
Follow-ups
Marine Panel:
12
9
Holland
6
France
Compiled by R.S. Bradley and J.A. Eddy based on J.T. Houghton et al., Climate Change: The IPCC Assessment, Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge, 1990 and published in EarthQuest, vo. 1, 1991. Courtesy of Thomas Crowley,
Remembrance of Things Past: Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic Record
Phanerozoic
(majority of macroscopic organisms)
8000
7000
Atmospheric CO2 (ppmv)
6000
4000
3000
22
2000
17
1000
0 12
540 mya 250 mya 65 mya 1.5 mya
ice cap during
Late Ordovician
Eccentricity of the Earth’s elliptical orbit xes
no
qui
hee
of t
s ion
re ces
P
HIGHER
A1FI
End-of-
century
emissions
range from
1x to 5x
1990 levels
LOWER
B1
Temperature
HadCM3
Projected Change in Annual
Temperature for 2071-2100
relative to 1961-1990
Comparison of Annual mean SST at Boothbay Harbor and Prince 5, 1924-2000.
BBH at 43.84 N, 69.64 W; P5 at 44.947 N, 66.812 W
Annual SST
Warm, moist
12.0
Dry, cold
10.0
8.0
BBH
deg C
6.0
Prince 5
4.0
n=32, BBH=1.28 * P5, r2 = 0.72
2.0
0.0
1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
Year
Boothbay Harbor Monthly SST Anomaly (°C) 1905 – 2004
Anomaly = deviation from 20th century mean, 1905-1999
1
4
2
3
3
4 2
5 1
6
Month
0
7
8 1
9 2
10
3
11
4
12
05 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 04
Year: 1905 - 2004
• Temperature is important but not enough
• Stratification/Vertical Mixing [f (T,S, Wind)]
• Length of Stratified Season
• Salinity and Nutrients of Source waters (remote
influences)
IMPACTS:
• Temperature (north-south shifts in domains/species)
• Increased uncertainty and perhaps lower production
during faunal transitions
• Lots of uncertainty from food web perspective beginning
at primary producers
Available for download at:
http://www.climatechoices.org