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Pneumonia is the single biggest killer of children <5 years in the developing world
ARI Burden
on Health Services
• 5-8 episodes per child year in urban areas
• 3-5 in rural areas
• Overall ARI incidence same for low-income
and industrialized countries
• ARI is very often the most common
- acute illness amongst children
- reason for visit to a health worker
- reason for admission to hospital
WHERE?
Disease profiles
Diarrhea +
pneumonia
Malaria
Neonatal Malaria + AIDS
AIDS
Child Mortality: Geographic Distribution
Major Causes of Child Death
(2005)
Total deaths:
10.8 million Perinatal (23.1%) Majority from pneumonia
Pneumonia (19.1%)
Diarrhoeal diseases (15.2%)
These seven
Malaria (10.7%)
communicable
Measles (5.4%)
diseases account
HIV/AIDS (3.6%)
for 60% of all
Pertussis (2.9%)
child deaths
Tetanus (1.8%)
All other (19.2%)
Malnutrition is estimated to
contribute to around 50% of
all childhood deaths.
EIP/WHO
Pneumonia:The forgotten killer of children New York: UNICEF/WHO 2006.
Pneumonia:The forgotten killer of children New York: UNICEF/WHO 2006.
Incidence of Pneumonia
Underlying Determinants
For each of these
Financial barriers determinants:
Health care provision
Maternal education The poor are
Water, sanitation, and the home
environment
disadvantaged
Other underlying determinants
Source: Wagstaff, Bryce, Bustreo, Claeson. Child health: reaching the poor. AJPH
Is the MDG 4 for child survival
achievable globally?
– Lack of funds
Child Survival:The Obstacles
Implementation Challenges
Health Systems Constraints Community Constraints
Underfunded
Poverty
Over-crowded
The reality of HIV/AIDs
Monthly health expenditure per capita, deaths at age under 5 years per
1000 livebirths,6 and “preventable” component of under-5 mortality*
Byass P, Ghebreyesus TA. Making the world’s children count Lancet 2005; 365 1114
Estimated proportion of children < 5 years who received survival prevention
interventions in 42 countries accounting for 90% of under-5 deaths, 2003
Bryce J, et.al. Reducing child mortality: can public health deliver? Lancet 2003; 362: 159–64
Percent of per capita GNP needed to
buy primary series of Hib vaccine
7
6
Percent of Per capita GNP
6
5
4
3 2.3
2
1 0.5
0.06
0
USA South Africa Egypt Niger
The cost of scaling-up interventions
Data source: State of the World’s Children 2003. *Where available. For interventions with no country-level
coverage data a single estimate was used for all countries.
Jones G, et al How many deaths can we prevent this year? Lancet 2003; 362: 65-71
Cost of scaling-up pneumonia interventions
Bryce, J., et al., ‘Can the World Afford to Save the Lives of 6 Million Children Each Year?’, The Lancet, vol. 365, 2005, pp. 2193-2200;
Jones, G., et al., ‘How Many Child Deaths Can We Prevent This Year?’, The Lancet, vol. 362, 2003, pp. 65-71.
Cost of scaling-up pneumonia interventions
This investment is not only critical for expanding
treatment coverage with antibiotics but is also
necessary for strengthening the broader Health
system. The cost includes
• The purchase price of antibiotics,
• Scaling up treatment coverage to universal
levels:
– training
– supervising staff
– funding hospital stays for children with severe
pneumonia
Reaching MDG 4
Child Survival: The Opportunities
Jones G, et. al. How many child deaths can we prevent this year? Lancet 2003; 362: 65–71
Community-based implementation of
standard case management
of pneumonia
Sazawal S, Black RE. Lancet Infect Dis 2003
*Countries classified by the World Health Organization as having very high or high
child and adult mortality. Data from WorldHealth Report 2001 (WHO 2001).
Shiffman J. Donor funding priorities for communicable diseases. The Author 2006.
Disease burden in the developing world versus share
of donor funding, direct grants only*
*Donor funding is considered for the years 1996–2003 in deflated dollars, with 2002 as the base year. Burdens are
measured in DALYs for theyear 2000 for developing countries. Percentages are of the total for the
20 diseases considered, not of all developing world diseases.
Shiffman J. Donor funding priorities for communicable diseases. The Author 2006.
Percentage of developing world burden and percentage of donor funding
for selected diseases For the period 1996-2003
Shiffman J. Donor funding priorities for communicable diseases. The Author 2006.
Conclusion
• Pneumonia remains the major cause of mortality
in children
• Standard case management has been shown to
be effective in reducing mortality rates but is
expensive in relation to other interventions
• If MGD 4 is to be achieved there is an urgent
need for a major increase in funding for
universal coverage of SCM for pneumonia in the
developing world
• There needs to be a more balanced allocation
of the resources already being provided
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