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The Balance of Payments

Introduction
The measurement of all international economic transactions between the residents of a country and foreign residents is called the balance of payments (BOP) The two major sub accounts of the balance of payments are: Current account Capital account
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Fundamentals of Balance of Payments Accounting


The balance of payments must balance
Subaccounts may be imbalanced

Three main elements to the process of measuring international economic activity include:
Identifying what is and is not an international economic transaction Understanding how the flow of goods, services, assets, and money creates debits and credits to the overall BOP Understanding the bookkeeping procedures for BOP accounting

Defining International Transactions


Identifying many international transactions is ordinarily not difficult However, some international transactions are not obvious
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The BOP as a Flow Statement


The BOP is often believed to be a balance sheet rather than a cash flow statement There are two types of business transactions that dominate the BOP: Real assets Financial assets
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BOP Accounting: DoubleEntry Bookkeeping


BOP employs an accounting technique called double-entry bookkeeping In this age-old method every transaction produces a debit and a credit of the same amount A debit is created whenever:
An asset is increased A liability is decreased An expense is increased

A credit is created whenever:


An asset is decreased A liability is increased An expense is decreased
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BOP Accounting: DoubleEntry Bookkeeping


The measurement of all international transactions in and out of a country over a year is a difficult task Mistakes, errors, and statistical discrepancies will and do occur Current and capital account entries are recorded independent of one another, not together as this accounting method would prescribe
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The Accounts of the Balance of Payments


The BOP is comprised of two primary subaccounts:
Current Account Financial/Capital Account

Two additional and important subaccounts of the BOP include:


Net Errors and Omissions Account Official Reserves Account
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The Current Account


This account includes all international economic transactions with income or payment flows occurring within the year, the current period It consists of four subcategories:
Goods trade Services trade Income Current transfers

This account is typically dominated by Goods Trade


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The Current Account


The Balance on Trade (BOT) refers specifically to the balance of exports and imports of goods trade only The deficits in the BOT of the past decade have been an area of concern for the U.S. Merchandise trade is the core of international trade and has three major components:
Manufactured goods Agriculture Fuels

The most encouraging news for U.S. manufacturing trade is the growth of exports in recent years
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The Capital and Financial Account


This account of the BOP measures all international economic transactions of financial assets It is divided into two major components:
Capital Account Financial Account
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The Capital Account


The Capital Account is made up of transfers of:
Financial assets The acquisition and disposal of nonproduced/nonfinancial assets

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The Financial Account


The Financial Account consists of three components:
Direct investment Portfolio investment Other asset investments

The contents of this account are for all intents and purposes the same as those of the Capital Account under IMFs BOP accounting framework used prior to 1996
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Net Direct Investment


This is the net balance of capital dispersed out of and into the U.S. for the purpose of exerting control over assets Follows the 10% ownership threshold rule The source of concern over foreign investments in any country focuses on two topics:
Control Profit
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Portfolio Investment
This is the net balance of capital that flows in and out of the U.S., but does not reach the 10% ownership threshold of direct investment It is capital invested in activities that are purely profit-motivated rather than ones made in the prospect of controlling or managing the investment These have shown much more volatile behavior than net direct investments over the past decade
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Other Investment Assets/Liabilities


This category consists of:
Short-term trade credits Long-term trade credits Cross-border loans from all types of financial institutions Currency deposits Bank deposits Other accounts receivable Accounts payable
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Official Reserves Account


This is the total currency and metallic reserves held by official monetary authorities within the country Its significance depends on whether the country is operating under:
A fixed exchange rate regime A floating exchange rate system

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The Balance of Payments--Total


The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is the multinational organization that collects the BOP statistics for over 160 different countries around the globe The current, capital, and financial accounts combine to form the basic balance and is one of the most frequently used summary measures of the BOP The current, capital, financial, and net errors and omissions accounts combine to form the summary measure known as the overall balance or official settlements balance
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The Balance of Payments and Economic Crises


The sum of cross-border international economic activity can be used by international managers to forecast economic conditions and in some cases, the likelihood of economic crises The mechanics of international economic crises often follow a similar path of development
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Capital Flight
Capital flight is the sudden and shocking outflow of capital from a nation s economy in which it is perceived there is political, economic, or currency crises forthcoming Five primary mechanisms exist by which capital may be moved from one country to another

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