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Investing in Renewable Energy

What promotes investment in renewable energy?


Reasonable return on equity Reliable and reasonably predictable revenue stream Confidence in plant output and operating costs Investor certainty (i.e. manageable risks) Social and environmental outcomes

The same as any other infrastructure investment!

The benefits of renewable energy


Sound financial investment Zero greenhouse gas emissions Lower OHS risks than alternative fossil fuel generation Positive social and environmental outcomes Broader health benefits to community

Are others investing?

Investor sentiment today


Looking brighter after much turbulence New investment is underwritten by the 20% renewable energy target by 2020 Carbon price will improve investment certainty Banks are keen and super funds ($1T) getting interested

REC Prices
Howard Govt refuses to increase MRET Rudd Govt elected with 20% by 2020 target

Market forecasts oversupply in ERET design NSW G-FIT announced

SA, Qld & WA support for state RET schemes

Expanded RET legislated Vic Govt wins election with VRET and NSW RET announced COAG review of RET announced Enhanced RET announced

Underlying graph from Green Energy Markets Renewables Report

Lane Crockett

Pacific Hydro

Estimate of technology breakdown for 20% RET

Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Levelised Cost of electricity ($/MWh)

Bloomberg New Energy Finance


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ATSE 2009
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AGL, IES & Pacific Hydro


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What do Victorians want?


Survey question: If you had to pick one of these as your preferred option which would it be?

QDOS Survey June 2010


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Renewable energy: Popular Good investment Creates jobs Clean and healthy No emissions!

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My ten minutes is up.....

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Cost make-up of residential electricity tariff (IPART)

RET (thin wafer) Retailer cost

Generation cost

Transmission cost

Name of Speaker

Document Title 14

The National Electricity Market


The NEM is a dynamic network which has to balance generation to variable demand in 5 minute periods.

NEM already manages a high levels of intermittent generation

AEMO 2010
Name of Speaker Document Title 16

Name of Speaker

Document Title

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Renewable resources in Australia


Wind Lowest cost, lowest environmental footprint Around 7000MW of planning approved wind farm capacity in Australia May be limited by social factors

Renewable resources in Australia


Solar Current costs are high but falling rapidly Resource is highly confluent with load demand PV costs falling rapidly due to efficiency gains and volume capacity growth Solar thermal (with storage) - power can be dispatched into the grid

Opportunities for main technologies


Geothermal Vast resource Industry moving to conventional technology Power can be dispatched into the grid Wave Large coastal resource

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