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CA N Maheswara Rao
CA N Maheswara Rao
Financial Analysis
Assessment of the firms past, present and
future financial conditions Done to find firms financial strengths and weaknesses Primary Tools:
Financial Statements Comparison of financial ratios to past performance , industry, sector and all firms
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Financial Statements
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Equity
Retained Profit
Net Income
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Dividends
= Gross Profit - Cash Operating Expenses EBIT = EBDIT - Depreciation - Amortization EBT = EBIT - Interest NI or EAT = EBT- Taxes Net Income is a primary determinant of the firms cashflows and, thus, the value of the firms shares
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2,613.00 -Rs.6.00
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1. Horizontal Analysis
Increase/(Decrease) 2005 2004 Amount Percent Rs.41,500 Rs.37,850 Rs.3,650 9.6% 40,000 36,900 3,100 8.4% 1,500 950 550 57.9%
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Trend Percentages...
are computed by selecting a base year
whose amounts are set equal to 100%. The amounts of each following year are expressed as a percentage of the base amount. Trend % = Any year Rs. Base year Rs.
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2. Vertical Analysis...
compares each item in a financial statement
to a base number set to 100%. Every item on the financial statement is then reported as a percentage of that base.
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2. Vertical Analysis
Revenues Cost of sales Gross profit Total operating expenses Operating income Other income Income before taxes Income taxes Net income
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2005 Rs.38,303 19,688 Rs.18,615 13,209 Rs. 5,406 2,187 Rs. 7,593 2,827 Rs. 4,766
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2. Vertical Analysis ..
Assets Current assets: Cash Receivables net Inventories Prepaid expenses Total current assets Plant and equipment, net Other assets Total assets
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2005 Rs. 1,816 10,438 6,151 3,526 Rs.21,931 6,847 9,997 Rs.38,775
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3. Common-size Statements
On the income statement, each item is
expressed as a percentage of net sales. On the balance sheet, the common size is the total on each side of the accounting equation. Common-size statements are used to compare one company to other companies, and to the industry average.
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MCI
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4. Financial Ratios
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comparisons Evaluate current operations Compare performance with past performance Compare performance against other firms or industry standards Study the efficiency of operations Study the risk of operations
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Types of Ratios
Financial Ratios: Liquidity Ratios
Assess ability to cover current obligations
Leverage Ratios
Assess ability to cover long term debt obligations
Profitability Ratios
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Valuation Ratios:
Ratio Classification
1. Measuring Assets Utilization. 2. Measuring ability to pay current liabilities 1. Measuring ability to sell inventory and
collect receivables 1. Measuring ability to pay short-term and long-term debt 1. Measuring profitability 1. Analyzing stockNas an investment Apr 22, 2012 CA Maheswara Rao
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generate sales from a given level of assets. A large asset turnover is preferred to a low one. Total assets turnover is related to three similar ratios
a. Accounts receivable turnover b. Inventory turnover c. Fixed asset turnover
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or fixed assets (such as property, plant, equipment) and sales. Efficient use of fixed assets would be associated with high sales. If fixed assets turn over every four years, then each Rupees invested in fixed assets is generating a quarter of a Rupees in sales per year. A high turnover is preferred to a low one.
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Inventory turnover = Cost of goods sold Inventory turnover = Cost of goods sold Average inventory Average inventory
q
Holding inventory is costly because the funds invested in inventory can be used elsewhere.
q
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(interest before interest and income tax) (interest expense) Number of times interest is covered by income Indicates the relative protection that operating profitability provides to debtors Some analysts use cash flows instead of income
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Return on Equity
any payments to preferred shareholders as these dividends are not available to the common shareholder and have not been deducted from net income. The denominator is the average amount contributed by common shareholders which includes
Common stock at par, Additional paid in capital, and Retained earnings.
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ROCE
The first two have been previously defined. Leverage ratio indicates the relative proportion of
capital provided by common shareholders as distinct from that provided by creditors (debtors) or preferred shareholders.
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to generate earnings.
EPS is of limited use in comparing two firms. For investment purposes, the price to earnings ratio is
sometimes used (P/E ratio). This is the return to the purchaser of a share.
P/E = (market price of a share of stock)/(EPS) A low P/E is preferred to a high P/E, same earnings at a lower price.
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Dividend yield shows the percentage Dividend yield shows the percentage of a stocks market value returned as of a stocks market value returned as dividends to stockholders each period. dividends to stockholders each period. Dividend per share of common Dividend per share of common (or preferred) stock Market price per share (or preferred) stock Market price per share of common (or preferred) stock of common (or preferred) stock
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Book value per share of common stock Book value per share of common stock = (Total stockholders equity Preferred equity) = (Total stockholders equity Preferred equity) Number of shares of common stock outstanding Number of shares of common stock outstanding
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identify Published industry averages are only guidelines Accounting practices differ across firms Sometimes difficult to interpret deviations in ratios Industry ratios may not be desirable targets Seasonality affects ratios
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5. Financial Forecasting
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statements might look like if certain future conditions prevail. Of course, a pro forma statement is only as good as the forecast of the future conditions. In order to prepare a set of pro forma statements:
1. Project operating revenues 2. Project operating expenses given the level of revenues 3. Project assets required to support the revenues 4. Project financing for the additional assets 5. Project the cost of the financing 6. Project the cash flow statement based on assumptions about the timing of revenues and payments on debt and for expenses.
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Added
Economic Value
Each can be viewed from Total Assets or Total Equity The examples in this set of notes consider the case of Total Equity
Added
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Value created this year by earning profits in excess of cost of equity capital
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Rs. 25.92
(assumed)
13% 8%
(assumed) (assumed)
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CA N Maheswara Rao
MVA Calculation
Equity Capitalization
(Rs.25.92 times 100 shares) minus
Rs.2,592
Rs.1,512
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(Conceptually, this is equal to the summation of all Net Present Values of projects in which the firm has invested.)
EVA Calculation
Net Income During the Period Rs.200
minus
Rs.130
Rs. 70
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(Conceptually, this is the true economic profit created during the year; income above capital cost.)
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and used Until accountants began reporting the Statement of Cash Flows, financial analysts prepared a Sources & Uses of Funds statement based on published balance sheets and income statements
The Statement of Cash Flows categorizes
follows: --- Cash Flows from Operations --- Cash Flows from Investing Activities --- Cash Flows from Financing Activities These categories fit well with how finance people view the firm
cash flows as
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Net Cash Flow from Operations -73,780 Cash Flow from Investment:
Fixed Asset Increase
Operations Investment
-36,000
25,000 101,180 -22,000
104,180 -5,600
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Cont..
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--- Purchase or sale of long-term operating assets such as plant & equipment --- Acquisitions of other firms or divestitures of divisions --- Ideally separate Operating Assets from Non-Operating Assets ---- Sale or retirement of debt ---- Interest expense (after taxes) ---- Sale or retirement of equity securities ---- Dividend payments
Cont..
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notes
Non-operating assets include items such as excess marketable securities, Goodwill recorded in an acquisition, deferred taxes, land held for future use, investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries, and so forth
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1 Start by subtracting one balance sheet from another 2 Arrange balance sheet changes into two columns
Sources of Cash Uses of Cash 3 Be sure the two columns balance (total to the same value) 4 Rearrange the data into the three categories used in the Statement of Cash Flows
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Cash Statement Accts. Receivable 50,800 Operating Cash Flow Inventory 120,800Operating Cash Flow Gross Fixed Assets 36,000Investment Cash Flow Accum. Depreciation 20,000 Adjust to Net Income Accounts Payable 29,600 Operating Cash Flow ST Notes Payable 25,000 Financing Cash Flow Accruals 4,000 Operating Cash Flow NOPAT Long Term Debt 101,180 Financing Cash Flow 89,820 Ret. Earn. Net Income 44,220 Interest AT Dividends 22,000 Financing Cash Flow 45,600 Total 229,600229,600
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Net Cash Flow from Operations -22,580 Cash Flow from Investment: Fixed Asset Increase -36,000 Free Cash Flow from Assets-58,580 Cash Flow from Financing:
Increase in Notes Payable Increase in Long-term Debt Interest after tax Common Dividends 25,000 101,180 -45,600 -22,000
Operations Investment
58,580
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New investment took another Rs.36,000 of cash This was financed by new debt (mainly Long-Term) And they continued to pay dividends (Rs.22,000)
Accounts Receivable
Unless sales increase substantially to warrant higher
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