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A Conceptual Framework by
Technical Session on
Any project has to pass through certain stages and phases. UNIDO, Geneva has divided project cycles into the following phases and stages
NOTE: Delphi Technique : In this method, estimates are called from a group of people considered to be experts in the field. But the group is not allowed to meet and discuss or debate each others opinion. Individual experts are asked to give their estimates independently. This is aimed at avoiding those who are dominant influencing the opinion of the others. As different experts, based on their knowledge and experience may give divergent views, a panel co-ordinator carries out the job of reconciling the views of all of them. First, the co-ordinator solicits opinions from all the experts. Then, those whose opinions are well off the average are asked to explain the rationale of their position. A second round of questionnaire is sent to them. When a reasonable consensus is arrived at, the co-ordinator sums up the outcome of the exercise and calculate the demand. The main drawback of this method is its complexity.
3.
4. 5.
Idea Classification
Voting and Ranking Discussion of Results
The ideas generated in the process are ranked and the best is chosen.
Market Analysis
Market and Demand Analysis
Situational Analysis
Collection of Primary and Secondary Information through Market Survey Market Description Demand Forecasting and Uncertainties
Technical Analysis :
Technology Selection, Input requirements and Utilities, Product Mix, Plant Capacity, Functional Layout, Location of the Project, Logistical Requirements, Vendor Support, Machinery and Equipment, Consideration of Alternatives.
What will it cost ? How certain are the above ? Does it facilitate easy expansion ? What was the experience of the previous users, if any ? Promoters often depend on consultants for selecting the appropriate technology. Technological decisions are generally irreversible they call for a big outlay of investment they directly affect the competitiveness
Financial Analysis :
Means of Financing the Project (Term Loan / Deferred Credit etc.), Sources of Finance , Risk Analysis of the Project Investment, Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario Analysis - Social Cost Benefit Analysis.
The cost of the project The means of finance Estimation of working capital Profitability estimations Balance sheet projections Projection of sources and uses of funds
The Financial Institutions expect certain conditions to be fulfilled to qualify for Financial Assistance.
The requirements broadly cover the following aspects :
Debt equity ratio Promoters contribution Security margin Debt service capacity Repayment schedule Conversion
Survey of potential for agriculture and industrial growth. Maximizing export earning by identifying products with good export potential. Maximizing industrial / agriculture production of both capital and consumer goods. Identifying projects with employment generation potential. Maximizing self employment opportunities.
4. Particulars of the Project Product mix and capacity Location and Site Plant and Machinery Raw Materials Utilities
5. Technical arrangements 6. Production process 7. Environmental aspects 8. 9. Schedule of implementation Cost of the Project
Assumptions
Projected Balance Sheet Projected Cash Flow Statement
12. Appraisal based on profitability Estimates. 13. Economic considerations 14. Appendices Estimates of costs of production Calculation of depreciation
Strategic Analysis :
Strategic Models : Michael Porters Model Portfolio Analysis BCG Matrix SWOT Analysis
Operational Analysis :
Operation and Stabilization of the Project.
Project Appraisal :
Once the analysis part is over and the DPR is produced the project group get set ready for the appraisal session. This includes Corporate Appraisal Government Appraisal
Institutional appraisal for the fund disbursement The appraisal process also includes simulation and prototype analysis.
Initial capital
Corporate planning Performance review Co-ordination Consumer protection Consultancy services Policy considerations Management development Nomination of whole time directors and term sanctioned.
Before the Financial Institutions make any commitment about their funds, they have to necessarily satisfy themselves about the feasibility of the Project be assisted.
Single institution
Loan syndication Project Evaluation : Technical, Commercial and Financial
Once the project has been identified and screened and the approval has received after all the appraisal process the next stage is :
II. Investment Phase or On-going Project Phase :
Project Formulation Phase i.e. forming a project group to execute the project. This group shall be responsible for basic and detailed engineering, recruitment of staff members, appointing the contractor, consultants etc. tendering, bidding and contracting , procurement, quality, safety, health hazards etc. all related issues to resolve. A formal order is place the order with an appropriate contractor.
III. Operation and Maintenance Phase : This is for implementation, assess and take further actions to stabilize the project with :
Short Term Views Long Term Views
Under the most rigorous controlled conditions of pressure, temperature, volume, humidity and other variables the organism will do as it damn well pleases
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